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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 2, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1476ers47%9287
18Bucks53%9393
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.8
46.5
32.8
15
36%
3
10
1
1
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
5-16
4-9
31%
48%
1-4
25%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
41.8
29.0
13
77%
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
2-3
67%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
40.9
33.7
7
36%
4
4
2
1
0
4
0
4
3-4
75%
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.1
38.6
30.9
20
53%
12
3
1
1
2
0
4
8
0-2
0%
10-18
5-10
56%
49%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.9
27.6
25.9
12
44%
7
4
2
0
1
3
2
5
4-4
100%
4-12
4-8
33%
50%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.8
31.9
25.3
14
47%
6
0
2
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
6-13
6-11
46%
53%
0-1
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
16.3
22.3
3
24%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-3
33%
1-3
3-7
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.3
14.1
13.5
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-2
50%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.7
7.0
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.2
0.2
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
10.1
0
1-3
45%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.1
4.9
0
1-1
46%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 33.1
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.3
45.7
32.6
19
80%
4
8
2
1
0
5
0
4
2-2
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
46%
1-1
100%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.5
44.8
37.2
13
56%
2
4
3
1
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
2-6
5-11
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.3
39.0
34.1
10
39%
11
3
1
1
1
0
4
7
2-4
50%
4-11
6-12
36%
53%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
26.1
31.4
12
56%
5
0
0
1
0
3
0
5
2-4
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
49%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.4
22.1
11.7
8
52%
5
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
29.9
21.2
12
38%
12
2
0
0
0
3
1
11
0-0
-
6-15
4-8
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.9
28.4
17.2
8
82%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.2
12.0
4.5
7
72%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
3-4
1-1
75%
47%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.4
10.5
10.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.6
6.7
11.1
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.6
29.6
1
2-4
45%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.8
7.1
0
1-2
45%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.