Final Win Prob. pScore
1534%98
109
1166%103
114
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
117.29390.2
HOU logo Rockets
122.69396.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL109
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOULee Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)109
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOULee Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)109
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLCrawford Personal Take Foul (P1.PN)109
112
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU109
112
Q4 - 0:00.0HOULee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)109
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)109
6.8%
112
93.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)109
7.5%
111
92.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLSUB: Teague FOR Hinrich109
110
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLHinrich Personal Take Foul (P6.PN)109
110
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLJohnson 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS)109
14.7%
110
85.3%
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUSUB: Budinger FOR Scola107
110
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLSUB: Hinrich FOR Teague107
110
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)107
110
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)107
7.5%
110
92.5%
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Budinger107
109
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUROCKETS Rebound107
109
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 2107
8.3%
109
91.7%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLJohnson Personal Take Foul (P3.PN)107
109
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLSUB: Teague FOR Hinrich107
109
Q4 - 0:22.0HOUSUB: Budinger FOR Hayes107
109
Q4 - 0:22.0HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)107
109
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLSmith 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (21 PTS)107
7.2%
109
92.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)105
109
Q4 - 0:25.0HOUScola 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lowry 8 AST)105
3.9%
109
96.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)105
11.5%
107
88.5%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
14.2%
107
85.8%
Q4 - 1:02ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)105
107
Q4 - 1:02HOUHayes P.FOUL (P3.T3)105
107
Q4 - 1:12ATLHawks Rebound105
25.6%
107
74.4%
Q4 - 1:13ATLMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot105
18.0%
107
82.0%
Q4 - 1:19ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)105
26.3%
107
73.7%
Q4 - 1:19HOUROCKETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Scola )104
107
Q4 - 1:34HOUScola 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Martin 5 AST)104
18.1%
107
81.9%
Q4 - 1:53ATLSmith 9' Hook Shot (19 PTS)104
26.6%
105
73.4%
Q4 - 2:09HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)102
20.4%
105
79.6%
Q4 - 2:09HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)102
21.3%
104
78.7%
Q4 - 2:09ATLHinrich S.FOUL (P5.T4)102
103
Q4 - 2:21ATLJohnson Palming Turnover (P5.T11)102
26.0%
103
74.0%
Q4 - 2:34ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)102
42.0%
103
58.0%
Q4 - 2:35HOUMISS Lowry 5' Jump Shot102
36.7%
103
63.3%
Q4 - 2:57ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)102
103
Q4 - 2:57ATLHinrich Foul Turnover (P2.T10)102
27.2%
103
72.8%
Q4 - 2:57ATLHinrich OFF.Foul (P4)102
103
Q4 - 3:12HOUMartin Layup (30 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)102
41.0%
103
59.0%
Q4 - 3:16ATLHayes STEAL (3 STL)102
48.5%
101
51.5%
Q4 - 3:37ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)102
57.4%
101
42.6%
Q4 - 3:37HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 1102
56.0%
101
44.0%
Q4 - 3:37ATLHorford S.FOUL (P4.T3)102
101
Q4 - 3:37HOUScola 10' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)102
101
Q4 - 3:48ATLSmith 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)102
65.9%
99
34.1%
Q4 - 4:03HOUScola Foul Turnover (P5.T14)100
57.8%
99
42.2%
Q4 - 4:03HOUScola Offensive Charge Foul (P3.T2)100
99
Q4 - 4:27ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)100
47.5%
99
52.5%
Q4 - 4:44HOUScola Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)98
99
Q4 - 4:44HOUJump Ball Scola vs. Horford: Tip to Smith98
38.6%
99
61.4%
Q4 - 5:03ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)98
30.3%
99
69.7%
Q4 - 5:21HOUMartin 16' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Hayes 3 AST)96
24.0%
99
76.0%
Q4 - 5:43ATLJohnson 7' Jump Shot (19 PTS)96
30.2%
97
69.8%
Q4 - 5:56ATLSUB: Hinrich FOR Teague94
97
Q4 - 5:56HOUSUB: Scola FOR Patterson94
97
Q4 - 5:56HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)94
97
Q4 - 5:56ATLHawks Rebound94
23.9%
97
76.1%
Q4 - 5:56HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
21.9%
97
78.1%
Q4 - 6:08ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)94
19.3%
97
80.7%
Q4 - 6:30HOUMartin 1' Driving Layup (26 PTS)92
15.3%
97
84.7%
Q4 - 6:56ATLHorford 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)92
19.2%
95
80.8%
Q4 - 7:03ATLSUB: Smith FOR Pachulia90
95
Q4 - 7:03HOUMartin P.FOUL (P2.T1)90
95
Q4 - 7:09ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
16.4%
95
83.6%
Q4 - 7:11HOUMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
15.1%
95
84.9%
Q4 - 7:16HOUROCKETS Rebound90
12.6%
95
87.4%
Q4 - 7:17ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot90
13.7%
95
86.3%
Q4 - 7:20ATLHawks Rebound90
16.3%
95
83.7%
Q4 - 7:21ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot90
13.7%
95
86.3%
Q4 - 7:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
16.3%
95
83.7%
Q4 - 7:34HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 2 of 290
15.8%
95
84.2%
Q4 - 7:34HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)90
13.8%
95
86.2%
Q4 - 7:34ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P5.T2)90
94
Q4 - 7:42HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)90
16.0%
94
84.0%
Q4 - 7:44HOUMISS Lee 20' Jump Shot90
19.0%
94
81.0%
Q4 - 7:57ATLTeague P.FOUL (P3.T1)90
94
Q4 - 8:21ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)90
17.3%
94
82.7%
Q4 - 8:32ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
13.8%
94
86.2%
Q4 - 8:33HOUMISS Lowry 23' Jump Shot88
12.9%
94
87.1%
Q4 - 8:5488
94
Q4 - 8:54ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P3.T8)88
11.0%
94
89.0%
Q4 - 8:54ATLJohnson OFF.Foul (P2)88
94
Q4 - 9:06HOUMartin 22' Jump Shot (24 PTS)88
15.0%
94
85.0%
Q4 - 9:25ATLCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)88
18.3%
92
81.7%
Q4 - 9:45HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)85
12.1%
92
87.9%
Q4 - 9:45HOUPatterson 1' Putback Slam Dunk (8 PTS)85
12.1%
92
87.9%
Q4 - 9:46HOUMISS Lee 1' Driving Layup85
17.1%
90
82.9%
Q4 - 10:05HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
15.6%
90
84.4%
Q4 - 10:07ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot85
16.6%
90
83.4%
Q4 - 10:30HOUPatterson 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)85
18.9%
90
81.1%
Q4 - 10:48ATLPachulia 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)85
22.5%
88
77.5%
Q4 - 11:09HOUPatterson Putback Layup (4 PTS)83
19.4%
88
80.6%
Q4 - 11:10HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
23.0%
86
77.0%
Q4 - 11:11HOUMISS Lee 8' Jump Shot83
25.8%
86
74.2%
Q4 - 11:23ATLTeague 2' Layup (10 PTS)83
23.0%
86
77.0%
Q4 - 11:28ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
19.4%
86
80.6%
Q4 - 11:29HOUMISS Lowry 2' Layup81
18.4%
86
81.6%
Q4 - 11:44HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
16.2%
86
83.8%
Q4 - 11:45ATLMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot81
17.1%
86
82.9%
Q4 - 12:0081
86
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU81
19.4%
86
80.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound81
16.2%
86
83.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Lowry 17' Jump Shot81
18.4%
86
81.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
17.0%
86
83.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Crawford 16' Jump Shot81
17.8%
86
82.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)81
19.8%
86
80.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P4.PN)81
85
Q3 - 0:30.0HOULowry 2' Layup (16 PTS)81
85
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLPatterson STEAL (1 STL)81
27.5%
83
72.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)81
31.4%
83
68.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)81
32.8%
82
67.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P3.PN)81
81
Q3 - 0:46.0ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Smith81
81
Q3 - 0:46.0ATLTeague P.FOUL (P2.T3)81
81
Q3 - 1:01HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
36.0%
81
64.0%
Q3 - 1:02ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
37.3%
81
62.7%
Q3 - 1:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)81
40.3%
81
59.7%
Q3 - 1:24HOUMISS Martin 3PT Jump Shot81
39.0%
81
61.0%
Q3 - 1:28HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)81
36.0%
81
64.0%
Q3 - 1:30HOUMISS Martin 3PT Jump Shot81
39.0%
81
61.0%
Q3 - 1:48ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
36.1%
81
63.9%
Q3 - 1:48HOUSUB: Patterson FOR Scola80
81
Q3 - 1:48ATLHawks Rebound80
81
Q3 - 1:48ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 280
34.8%
81
65.2%
Q3 - 1:48HOUSUB: Lee FOR Budinger80
81
Q3 - 1:48HOUScola Shooting Block Foul (P2.T2)80
81
Q3 - 1:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)80
35.6%
81
64.4%
Q3 - 1:54HOUMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
34.4%
81
65.6%
Q3 - 2:02HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
31.1%
81
68.9%
Q3 - 2:03ATLMISS Smith 14' Jump Bank Shot80
32.3%
81
67.7%
Q3 - 2:26HOUScola 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)80
35.2%
81
64.8%
Q3 - 2:41HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
39.8%
79
60.2%
Q3 - 2:43ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
41.1%
79
58.9%
Q3 - 2:59ATLSUB: Teague FOR Hinrich80
79
Q3 - 2:59HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)80
79
Q3 - 2:59HOUHayes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)80
44.3%
79
55.7%
Q3 - 3:04HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
39.1%
79
60.9%
Q3 - 3:05ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot80
40.4%
79
59.6%
Q3 - 3:08ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
43.6%
79
56.4%
Q3 - 3:09ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot80
40.4%
79
59.6%
Q3 - 3:31HOUScola 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T11)80
43.7%
79
56.3%
Q3 - 3:38ATLHorford P.FOUL (P3.T2)80
79
Q3 - 3:46HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
39.1%
79
60.9%
Q3 - 3:47ATLMISS Horford 1' Layup80
40.5%
79
59.5%
Q3 - 3:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
43.7%
79
56.3%
Q3 - 3:50ATLMISS Horford 7' Jump Shot80
40.5%
79
59.5%
Q3 - 4:07HOULowry 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)80
43.4%
79
56.6%
Q3 - 4:30ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)80
47.0%
77
53.0%
Q3 - 4:30ATLSUB: Crawford FOR Williams79
77
Q3 - 4:30HOUHayes S.FOUL (P2.T1)79
77
Q3 - 4:30ATLSmith 1' Layup (13 PTS)79
77
Q3 - 4:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
39.2%
77
60.8%
Q3 - 4:31ATLMISS Horford 8' Jump Shot77
35.9%
77
64.1%
Q3 - 4:55HOUMartin 1' Layup (22 PTS)77
39.2%
77
60.8%
Q3 - 4:59ATLLowry STEAL (1 STL)77
42.7%
75
57.3%
Q3 - 5:19HOUHayes 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Scola 3 AST)77
46.6%
75
53.4%
Q3 - 5:28HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
50.4%
73
49.6%
Q3 - 5:30ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot77
51.8%
73
48.2%
Q3 - 5:54HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
55.1%
73
44.9%
Q3 - 5:54HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)77
55.9%
72
44.1%
Q3 - 5:54ATLHinrich S.FOUL (P3.T1)77
71
Q3 - 6:00ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)77
58.8%
71
41.2%
Q3 - 6:24HOUMartin 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)74
49.8%
71
50.2%
Q3 - 6:29HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
53.5%
69
46.5%
Q3 - 6:30HOUMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot74
56.5%
69
43.5%
Q3 - 6:47ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)74
53.5%
69
46.5%
Q3 - 7:12HOUHayes 1' Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)72
48.4%
69
51.6%
Q3 - 7:25HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
52.1%
67
47.9%
Q3 - 7:26ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot72
53.4%
67
46.6%
Q3 - 7:48HOUScola 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)72
56.2%
67
43.8%
Q3 - 7:58HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
59.8%
65
40.2%
Q3 - 7:59ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot72
61.0%
65
39.0%
Q3 - 8:12HOUScola 1' Layup (5 PTS)72
62.8%
65
37.2%
Q3 - 8:34HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
66.0%
63
34.0%
Q3 - 8:35ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot72
67.1%
63
32.9%
Q3 - 9:00HOUMartin 1' Reverse Dunk (18 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)72
69.5%
63
30.5%
Q3 - 9:19ATLHinrich 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)72
71.4%
61
28.6%
Q3 - 9:35ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
68.5%
61
31.5%
Q3 - 9:37HOUMISS Budinger 5' Running Jump Shot70
67.5%
61
32.5%
Q3 - 9:55ATLHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)70
65.1%
61
34.9%
Q3 - 10:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
57.0%
61
43.0%
Q3 - 10:02HOUMISS Scola 4' Running Jump Shot67
55.9%
61
44.1%
Q3 - 10:19ATLHorford 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)67
53.4%
61
46.6%
Q3 - 10:27ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)65
61
Q3 - 10:36HOUHayes 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Budinger 1 AST)65
50.0%
61
50.0%
Q3 - 10:52HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
53.5%
59
46.5%
Q3 - 10:53ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
54.6%
59
45.4%
Q3 - 11:12HOUBudinger 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)65
56.2%
59
43.8%
Q3 - 11:29ATLJohnson 5' Hook Shot (15 PTS)65
62.6%
56
37.4%
Q3 - 11:48HOUBudinger 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)63
59.6%
56
40.4%
Q3 - 12:0063
54
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL63
62.7%
54
37.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound63
66.1%
54
33.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Crawford 28' 3PT Jump Shot63
63.7%
54
36.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUBudinger 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)63
64.3%
54
35.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
68.0%
52
32.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
68.7%
52
31.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)63
70.3%
52
29.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLSmith S.FOUL (P1.PN)63
51
Q2 - 0:29.0HOULowry 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
51
Q2 - 0:34.0ATLWilliams 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)63
76.1%
49
23.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
73.0%
49
27.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0HOUMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
72.4%
49
27.6%
Q2 - 1:01ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)61
70.1%
49
29.9%
Q2 - 1:01ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)60
69.6%
49
30.4%
Q2 - 1:01HOUBudinger P.FOUL (P2.PN)59
49
Q2 - 1:11HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)59
66.5%
49
33.5%
Q2 - 1:11HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)59
66.8%
48
33.2%
Q2 - 1:11ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P1.PN)59
47
Q2 - 1:20ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
70.1%
47
29.9%
Q2 - 1:20ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
69.6%
47
30.4%
Q2 - 1:20HOULowry P.FOUL (P2.PN)57
47
Q2 - 1:30HOUBudinger 1' Layup (4 PTS)57
66.5%
47
33.5%
Q2 - 1:31HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
70.1%
45
29.9%
Q2 - 1:33HOUMISS Budinger 1' Layup57
71.5%
45
28.5%
Q2 - 1:43ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)57
70.1%
45
29.9%
Q2 - 1:43ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)56
69.8%
45
30.2%
Q2 - 1:43HOUMartin P.FOUL (P1.PN)55
45
Q2 - 1:46HOUHayes Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)55
66.5%
45
33.5%
Q2 - 1:55ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)55
64.4%
45
35.6%
Q2 - 2:11HOUMartin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)53
60.1%
45
39.9%
Q2 - 2:30ATLSUB: Teague FOR Hinrich53
45
Q2 - 2:30ATLSUB: Williams FOR Horford53
45
Q2 - 2:30ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)53
45
Q2 - 2:30ATLHorford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)53
56.9%
45
43.1%
Q2 - 2:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
60.1%
45
39.9%
Q2 - 2:38HOUMISS Hayes 1' Layup53
59.1%
45
40.9%
Q2 - 2:56ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)53
57.0%
45
43.0%
Q2 - 3:14HOUHayes 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)50
50.3%
45
49.7%
Q2 - 3:33ATLJohnson 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
52.8%
43
47.2%
Q2 - 3:54ATLHawks Rebound48
50.3%
43
49.7%
Q2 - 3:55HOUMISS Budinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
49.2%
43
50.8%
Q2 - 4:02HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
45.9%
43
54.1%
Q2 - 4:03ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot48
46.9%
43
53.1%
Q2 - 4:13HOUSUB: Martin FOR Hill48
43
Q2 - 4:13HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Patterson48
43
Q2 - 4:13HOUSUB: Scola FOR Lee48
43
Q2 - 4:13HOUHill Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)48
49.2%
43
50.8%
Q2 - 4:33ATLCrawford 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)48
46.0%
43
54.0%
Q2 - 4:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
43.3%
43
56.7%
Q2 - 4:40HOUMISS Hill 13' Jump Shot46
42.3%
43
57.7%
Q2 - 4:57ATLCrawford 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)46
40.1%
43
59.9%
Q2 - 5:08HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
37.1%
43
62.9%
Q2 - 5:08ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Williams44
42
Q2 - 5:08HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
37.6%
42
62.4%
Q2 - 5:08ATLHinrich S.FOUL (P2.PN)44
41
Q2 - 5:15HOULee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
40.0%
41
60.0%
Q2 - 5:16ATLMISS Horford 21' Jump Shot44
40.8%
41
59.2%
Q2 - 5:32HOUHill 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)44
42.8%
41
57.2%
Q2 - 5:46ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
45.7%
39
54.3%
Q2 - 5:46ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)43
44.9%
39
55.1%
Q2 - 5:46HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)42
39
Q2 - 5:46HOUHill S.FOUL (P2.T4)42
39
Q2 - 5:55ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
42.8%
39
57.2%
Q2 - 5:56HOUMISS Hill 9' Jump Shot42
41.9%
39
58.1%
Q2 - 6:09ATLCrawford 1' Putback Layup (5 PTS)42
39.3%
39
60.7%
Q2 - 6:10ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
37.1%
39
62.9%
Q2 - 6:11ATLMISS Crawford 7' Running Jump Shot40
35.0%
39
65.0%
Q2 - 6:24HOULee Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)40
37.1%
39
62.9%
Q2 - 6:38ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
34.1%
39
65.9%
Q2 - 6:38ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
33.7%
39
66.3%
Q2 - 6:38HOUHill S.FOUL (P1.T3)38
39
Q2 - 7:01HOULowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)38
31.6%
39
68.4%
Q2 - 7:05ATLSUB: Smith FOR Pachulia38
36
Q2 - 7:05ATLSUB: Hinrich FOR Teague38
36
Q2 - 7:05ATLTeague P.FOUL (P1.T4)38
36
Q2 - 7:15HOUHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
36.4%
36
63.6%
Q2 - 7:16ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot38
37.3%
36
62.7%
Q2 - 7:35ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
39.2%
36
60.8%
Q2 - 7:36HOUMISS Patterson 19' Jump Shot38
38.4%
36
61.6%
Q2 - 7:42HOUSUB: Lowry FOR Dragic38
36
Q2 - 7:55ATLCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)38
36.4%
36
63.6%
Q2 - 8:00HOUDragic P.FOUL (P1.T2)35
36
Q2 - 8:09HOULee Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)35
31.4%
36
68.6%
Q2 - 8:09ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P2.T3)35
35
Q2 - 8:09HOULee 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
35
Q2 - 8:22ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
36.2%
33
63.8%
Q2 - 8:22ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
35.6%
33
64.4%
Q2 - 8:22HOUSUB: Budinger FOR Martin33
33
Q2 - 8:2233
33
Q2 - 8:22HOUPatterson S.FOUL (P1.T1)33
33
Q2 - 8:25ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
33.8%
33
66.2%
Q2 - 8:26HOUMISS Lee 21' Jump Shot33
33.1%
33
66.9%
Q2 - 8:43ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 9:01HOUPatterson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)31
29.0%
33
71.0%
Q2 - 9:21ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)31
31.2%
31
68.8%
Q2 - 9:35HOUMartin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)29
29.1%
31
70.9%
Q2 - 9:50ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)29
33.5%
28
66.5%
Q2 - 10:01HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)27
31.3%
28
68.7%
Q2 - 10:01HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)27
31.5%
27
68.5%
Q2 - 10:01ATLWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T2)27
26
Q2 - 10:13ATLTeague 22' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q2 - 10:21ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
31.3%
26
68.7%
Q2 - 10:23HOUMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
30.5%
26
69.5%
Q2 - 10:52ATLTeague 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
28.9%
26
71.1%
Q2 - 11:12HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)23
27.1%
26
72.9%
Q2 - 11:12ATLSUB: Horford FOR Johnson23
25
Q2 - 11:12HOUSUB: Hill FOR Hayes23
25
Q2 - 11:12ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P1.T1)23
25
Q2 - 11:12HOUMartin 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)23
25
Q2 - 11:20HOUDragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
31.1%
23
68.9%
Q2 - 11:21ATLMISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot23
31.8%
23
68.2%
Q2 - 11:36HOUDragic 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q2 - 12:0023
21
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL23
35.5%
21
64.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
37.2%
21
62.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
36.0%
21
64.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0HOUDragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)23
37.3%
21
62.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0ATLPachulia 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)23
35.4%
21
64.6%
Q1 - 0:51.0HOUSUB: Patterson FOR Scola21
21
Q1 - 0:51.0HOUScola Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)21
32.8%
21
67.2%
Q1 - 1:05ATLSmith 1' Putback Layup (9 PTS)21
31.1%
21
68.9%
Q1 - 1:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q1 - 1:08ATLMISS Crawford 7' Floating Jump Shot19
27.6%
21
72.4%
Q1 - 1:14ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q1 - 1:15HOUMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
28.2%
21
71.8%
Q1 - 1:27HOUScola Violation:Defensive Goaltending19
21
Q1 - 1:27ATLSmith 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)19
27.2%
21
72.8%
Q1 - 1:49HOUHayes 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)17
24.9%
21
75.1%
Q1 - 2:04ATLJohnson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 2:12ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
25.2%
19
74.8%
Q1 - 2:14HOUMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
24.8%
19
75.2%
Q1 - 2:19HOUROCKETS Rebound15
23.7%
19
76.3%
Q1 - 2:20HOUMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
24.8%
19
75.2%
Q1 - 2:33HOUDragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
23.7%
19
76.3%
Q1 - 2:35ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot15
24.1%
19
75.9%
Q1 - 2:46HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
19
Q1 - 2:46HOUScola Foul Turnover (P1.T4)15
25.2%
19
74.8%
Q1 - 2:46HOUScola OFF.Foul (P1)15
19
Q1 - 3:01ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
23.5%
19
76.5%
Q1 - 3:01ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 3:01HOUSUB: Dragic FOR Lowry13
19
Q1 - 3:01HOULowry S.FOUL (P1.T3)13
19
Q1 - 3:05HOUMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)13
22.0%
19
78.0%
Q1 - 3:23HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
20.4%
19
79.6%
Q1 - 3:23ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 213
20.6%
19
79.4%
Q1 - 3:23HOUSUB: Lee FOR Budinger13
19
Q1 - 3:23ATLSUB: Teague FOR Williams13
19
Q1 - 3:23ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 3:23HOUHayes Shooting Block Foul (P1.T2)12
19
Q1 - 3:33HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
20.5%
19
79.5%
Q1 - 3:33ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Horford12
18
Q1 - 3:33HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 3:33ATLHorford S.FOUL (P2.T3)12
17
Q1 - 3:43HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
22.0%
17
78.0%
Q1 - 3:44ATLMISS Smith 6' Turnaround Hook Shot12
22.5%
17
77.5%
Q1 - 4:09HOUMartin 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
24.3%
17
75.7%
Q1 - 4:26HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
25.7%
15
74.3%
Q1 - 4:27ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot12
26.2%
15
73.8%
Q1 - 4:39ATLSUB: Crawford FOR Hinrich12
15
Q1 - 4:39ATL12
15
Q1 - 4:39ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
15
Q1 - 4:47HOUMartin 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Scola 2 AST)12
27.5%
15
72.5%
Q1 - 5:00HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
29.0%
13
71.0%
Q1 - 5:01ATLMISS Smith 9' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot12
29.6%
13
70.4%
Q1 - 5:21HOULowry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)12
30.8%
13
69.2%
Q1 - 5:47ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)12
32.3%
11
67.7%
Q1 - 6:03HOUHayes 5' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)10
30.7%
11
69.3%
Q1 - 6:29ATLJohnson 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
32.2%
9
67.8%
Q1 - 6:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
30.8%
9
69.2%
Q1 - 6:44HOUMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot8
30.4%
9
69.6%
Q1 - 7:01ATLHinrich Foul Turnover (P1.T4)8
29.3%
9
70.7%
Q1 - 7:01ATLHinrich Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T2)8
9
Q1 - 7:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
30.8%
9
69.2%
Q1 - 7:11HOUMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
30.4%
9
69.6%
Q1 - 7:19HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
29.4%
9
70.6%
Q1 - 7:20ATLMISS Johnson 3' Layup8
29.9%
9
70.1%
Q1 - 7:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
30.9%
9
69.1%
Q1 - 7:32HOUMISS Lowry 21' Jump Shot8
30.5%
9
69.5%
Q1 - 7:41HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
29.6%
9
70.4%
Q1 - 7:42ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot8
30.0%
9
70.0%
Q1 - 7:54HOUHayes 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)8
31.0%
9
69.0%
Q1 - 7:55HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
32.2%
7
67.8%
Q1 - 7:56HOUMISS Scola 6' Running Hook Shot8
33.2%
7
66.8%
Q1 - 8:17ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)8
32.2%
7
67.8%
Q1 - 8:29HOUScola 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)6
31.1%
7
68.9%
Q1 - 8:35ATLHayes STEAL (2 STL)6
32.3%
5
67.7%
Q1 - 8:57HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
33.5%
5
66.5%
Q1 - 8:57HOUROCKETS Rebound6
4
Q1 - 8:57HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 26
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 8:57ATLHorford S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
4
Q1 - 9:12HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
33.5%
4
66.5%
Q1 - 9:13ATLMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 9:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
34.5%
4
65.5%
Q1 - 9:20ATLMISS Williams 1' Layup6
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 9:25HOUMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
34.5%
4
65.5%
Q1 - 9:35ATLSmith 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
33.6%
4
66.4%
Q1 - 9:50HOUHayes 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
32.7%
4
67.3%
Q1 - 10:13ATLJohnson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)4
33.5%
2
66.5%
Q1 - 10:17HOUBudinger P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:27HOULowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:27HOUJump Ball Scola vs. Smith: Tip to Hinrich2
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 10:32ATLHayes STEAL (1 STL)2
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 10:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.1%
2
66.9%
Q1 - 10:41HOUMISS Martin 6' Running Jump Shot2
32.9%
2
67.1%
Q1 - 11:00ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 11:22HOUBudinger 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)2
33.5%
2
66.5%
Q1 - 11:39ATLHorford 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
33.9%
0
66.1%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Scola vs. Smith: Tip to Hinrich0
34.1%
0
65.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventATLHOU
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.17 58.6%
HOU
1.30 64.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
13
16
81%
HOU
25
32
78%
Midrange
ATL
25
50
50%
HOU
15
28
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
HOU
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
Free Throws
ATL
18
20
90%
HOU
25
29
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2563%12.5 / 20
J. Smith2155%10.5 / 19
J. Crawford1554%7.5 / 14
A. Horford1441%7.0 / 17
M. Williams1179%5.5 / 7
J. Teague1083%5.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia8100%4.0 / 4
K. Hinrich583%2.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin3570%17.5 / 25
C. Hayes1986%9.5 / 11
K. Lowry1761%8.5 / 14
L. Scola1568%7.5 / 11
C. Budinger1169%5.5 / 8
P. Patterson880%4.0 / 5
C. Lee531%2.5 / 8
G. Dragic250%1.0 / 2
J. Hill233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
82
+10
-11
92
HOU
79
+9
-14
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.17 58.6%
HOU
1.30 64.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
111.3
ATL 117.2
HOU 122.6 +5.4
Pace
89.5
94.2
ATL 90.2
HOU 96.0 +5.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.4
ATL 16.0
HOU 15.0 −1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
50.3%
ATL 56.2%
HOU 59.3% +3.1%
TO %
14.2%
13.4%
ATL 10.9% −2.9%
HOU 13.8%
ORB %
23.5%
27.5%
ATL 20.0%
HOU 23.3% +3.3%
FTrt
26.9
29.9
ATL 24.7
HOU 38.7 +14.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
61.7%
ATL 55.8%
HOU 55.8%
STL %
6.8%
7.4%
ATL 5.4%
HOU 5.4%
BLK %
6.6%
6.5%
ATL 3.3% +3.3%
HOU 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
53.6%
ATL 58.6%
HOU 64.8% +6.2%
Rim FG%
60.0%
58.5%
ATL 81.3% +3.2%
HOU 78.1%
Mid FG%
42.5%
39.6%
ATL 50.0%
HOU 53.6% +3.6%
3P %
35.2%
36.7%
ATL 33.3% +13.3%
HOU 20.0%
FT %
78.0%
80.1%
ATL 90.0% +3.8%
HOU 86.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
34.9%
ATL 19.8%
HOU 42.7% +22.9%
Mid Att. %
47.4%
38.7%
ATL 61.7%
HOU 37.3% −24.4%
3P Att. %
22.2%
26.4%
ATL 18.5%
HOU 20.0% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLHOU
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes24.823.3
Points109114
Rebounds3035
Assists2424
Steals55
Blocks20
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)28 (1)
Field Goals43-8143-75
At-the-Rim FG13-1625-32
Midrange FG25-5015-28
2-Point FG38-6640-60
3-Point FG5-153-15
Free Throws18-2025-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 30
41.9
25
63%
4
7
1
0
5
3
1
3
2-2
100%
10-16
63%
1-3
33%
C · 6'8" 240 · 25
41.1
14
41%
4
1
1
0
2
4
2
2
0-0
-
7-17
41%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
37.4
21
55%
11
7
2
1
1
1
3
8
5-7
71%
8-14
57%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 30
26.7
5
83%
0
2
0
0
2
6
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 237 · 25
25.5
11
79%
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 185 · 31
33.1
15
54%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
2-6
33%
G · 6'2" 189 · 23
20.1
10
83%
0
4
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 27
14.2
8
100%
2
0
1
0
1
5
0
2
4-4
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
· 6'6" 225 · 31
C · 6'10" 260 · 33
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26
#19 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · F · 6'9" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
59%
30
24
5
2
11
0
7
23
18-20
90%
38-66
58%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.