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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 8, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bucks53%96100
24Pistons47%95110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.5
32.8
34.2
31
69%
2
4
3
1
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
11-16
4-9
69%
44%
2-5
40%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.3
28.2
33.9
10
56%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.6
19.5
27.1
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.1
11.5
5.3
0
0%
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-2
0%
0-4
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
7.2
30.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
35.7
6.8
18
57%
6
1
1
0
0
2
2
4
4-4
100%
7-12
1-2
58%
51%
0-2
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
28.8
21.5
12
47%
4
3
1
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
0-1
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.6
24.9
8.8
6
61%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.9
24.8
17.9
11
55%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
1-5
20%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.4
12.9
7.9
4
67%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.8
8.8
5.3
4
69%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.4
5.0
16.5
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.2
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.1
34.8
30.7
16
51%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
4-4
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
49%
0-3
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.8
32.9
34.3
11
84%
8
3
0
2
0
0
2
6
7-8
88%
2-3
5-9
67%
55%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 33.1
31.9
29.3
9
36%
4
6
1
1
0
3
2
2
5-6
83%
2-10
5-10
20%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
23.8
19.8
27
70%
13
0
1
1
1
1
5
8
3-3
100%
12-18
3-6
67%
53%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.9
14.2
15.2
0
0%
3
2
0
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.0
33.8
20.9
22
63%
4
4
0
1
0
5
0
4
8-8
100%
7-13
3-7
54%
45%
0-1
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.8
20.0
19.9
5
63%
4
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.0
18.0
15.4
2
33%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.6
15.4
18.1
15
58%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
49%
1-5
20%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.1
15.1
16.2
3
80%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.3
22.0
1
3-7
47%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.2
4.0
0
0-1
44%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.1
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.6
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.