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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 8, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bobcats12%86103
1Heat88%102112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.1
41.2
32.7
23
69%
13
1
2
1
1
2
5
8
3-4
75%
10-15
3-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.0
34.2
33.6
11
41%
1
2
2
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
5-11
4-7
45%
53%
0-2
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.0
29.6
31.2
8
44%
1
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
4-10
50%
46%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.4
28.9
35.0
11
51%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-8
4-10
38%
44%
1-2
50%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.3
21.8
33.8
4
33%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
5-12
40%
45%
0-1
0%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.6
24.3
18.4
13
57%
8
1
0
0
0
0
2
6
1-1
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
24.1
14.7
10
56%
6
4
0
0
2
1
3
3
2-2
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
40%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 24.9
19.1
10.2
17
66%
1
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
6-9
67%
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
3-6
50%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.6
16.7
16.0
6
51%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.0
9.2
0
1-3
44%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
5.9
0
1-2
46%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.7
3.4
0
0-0
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.2
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.6
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 31.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.3
37.4
37.4
23
62%
7
9
2
1
1
1
1
6
5-6
83%
9-15
8-14
60%
57%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.0
36.8
35.7
27
73%
10
2
1
1
0
3
1
9
9-10
90%
9-14
7-13
64%
53%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.2
33.2
32.1
27
75%
3
4
3
1
1
4
0
3
15-16
94%
6-10
7-13
60%
55%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.9
32.6
28.7
4
34%
3
2
0
1
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.8
17.9
8.2
10
71%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
1-2
71%
50%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.7
26.9
17.9
4
100%
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.1
20.3
20.2
9
48%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
3-6
1-2
50%
54%
1-3
33%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.5
20.0
28.1
6
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
2-2
100%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.9
15.0
15.7
2
50%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.7
17.3
0
1-2
61%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
7.7
0
1-1
45%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.2
6.9
0
1-1
49%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.1
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.