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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 8, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers49%9586
5Trail Blazers51%9693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.8
32.9
29.6
8
36%
13
2
2
0
0
2
6
7
0-0
-
4-11
6-11
36%
54%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.6
31.9
31.7
24
46%
2
4
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-3
0%
6-17
7-14
35%
50%
4-8
50%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.4
31.5
33.2
3
52%
6
0
2
0
2
3
1
5
1-2
50%
1-2
5-8
50%
57%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.4
29.9
27.5
14
43%
8
2
1
1
1
1
6
2
4-5
80%
2-11
2-5
18%
46%
2-3
67%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.7
26.3
29.3
8
67%
4
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.4
29.2
28.4
13
55%
14
3
1
1
1
4
3
11
1-2
50%
3-5
4-8
60%
54%
2-6
33%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.4
20.4
17.0
7
35%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.1
19.8
17.3
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.1
18.1
15.7
7
90%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
3-3
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.0
5.8
0
0-1
44%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 38.0
2.6
0
0-0
48%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.7
1.9
0
0-1
45%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.9
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
43.2
38.2
24
58%
11
1
2
1
4
1
2
9
4-4
100%
10-19
8-16
53%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.7
39.9
37.2
19
58%
13
7
1
1
0
4
1
12
7-10
70%
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.1
37.0
31.5
12
61%
6
13
2
1
0
4
2
4
4-4
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.5
32.6
29.0
18
76%
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-6
3-5
83%
48%
2-5
40%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.3
26.4
31.3
13
54%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
54%
1-3
33%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.7
29.4
20.2
5
42%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.0
15.5
19.4
0
0%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.7
9.0
7.3
2
17%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 25.7
7.0
8.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.0
11.9
0
1-2
44%
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.1
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
2.8
0
0-1
47%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.2
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.