Final Win Prob. pScore
734%91
77
166%97
100
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo Celtics
88.58788.2
MIA logo Heat
117.68583.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS77
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMagloire 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)77
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)77
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 1:12BOSPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Bibby 40' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36BOSMISS Arroyo 9' Jump Shot77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade77
98
Q4 - 1:46MIASUB: Magloire FOR Anthony77
98
Q4 - 1:46MIAWade P.FOUL (P3.T4)77
98
Q4 - 1:51MIAHoward 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09BOSMISS Pavlovic 6' Floating Jump Shot77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIASUB: Jones FOR Bosh77
96
Q4 - 2:30MIASUB: Howard FOR James77
96
Q4 - 2:30BOSSUB: Arroyo FOR Green77
96
Q4 - 2:30BOSSUB: Murphy FOR Rondo77
96
Q4 - 2:30BOSSUB: Pavlovic FOR Allen77
96
Q4 - 2:30BOSSUB: Krstic FOR Garnett77
96
Q4 - 2:30BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)77
96
Q4 - 2:30MIAJames 20' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38BOSSUB: West FOR Pierce77
94
Q4 - 2:38BOSGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08BOSBosh STEAL (1 STL)77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)77
92
Q4 - 3:24MIAJames 2' Layup (23 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 3:30BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup77
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 3:35MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)77
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 3:52MIAAnthony Violation:Defensive Goaltending77
90
Q4 - 3:52BOSPierce 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS)77
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 4:13MIABosh 2' Layup (13 PTS)75
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 4:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)75
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 4:15MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot75
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 4:25BOSRondo P.FOUL (P1.T2)75
88
Q4 - 4:32MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)75
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 4:33BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot75
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 4:49MIABibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)75
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 5:07BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)75
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 5:07MIABosh S.FOUL (P4.T3)74
85
Q4 - 5:07BOSPierce 3' Driving Layup (21 PTS)74
85
Q4 - 5:09BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 5:27MIASUB: James FOR Jones72
85
Q4 - 5:27MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)72
85
Q4 - 5:36BOSGarnett 13' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)72
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 5:48BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 5:49MIAMISS Wade 10' Fadeaway Jumper70
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 6:10BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)70
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 6:19BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 6:20BOSMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot67
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 6:28MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)67
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 6:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)67
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 6:37MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 6:57MIASUB: Bibby FOR Chalmers67
85
Q4 - 6:57MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)67
85
Q4 - 6:57BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)67
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 6:57MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P3.T2)66
85
Q4 - 6:57BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)66
85
Q4 - 7:03BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 7:04MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 7:22BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)63
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:26MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)63
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 7:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:44BOSMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot63
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 8:07MIAWade 2' Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)63
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 8:09MIAHEAT Rebound63
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot63
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 8:29BOSAllen 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 8:5661
83
Q4 - 8:56BOSSUB: Rondo FOR West61
83
Q4 - 8:56BOSSUB: Garnett FOR Krstic61
83
Q4 - 8:56BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Davis61
83
Q4 - 8:56BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 3 of 361
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 8:56MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)61
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 8:56MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)61
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 8:56MIASUB: Wade FOR James61
81
Q4 - 8:5661
81
Q4 - 8:56BOSDavis S.FOUL (P4.T1)61
81
Q4 - 9:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 9:20BOSMISS Davis 3' Driving Jump Shot61
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 9:43MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS)61
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 9:59BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)61
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q4 - 10:25MIAJames 2' Dunk (19 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)61
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 10:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 10:36BOSMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot61
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 10:54MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T1)61
77
Q4 - 10:54BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q4 - 10:55BOSMISS Davis 9' Jump Shot61
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 11:19MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 7 AST)61
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 11:38BOSKrstic 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (West 3 AST)61
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q4 - 12:0059
74
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS59
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound59
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Rondo 43' 3PT Jump Shot59
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAAnthony 2' Layup (7 PTS) (James 6 AST)59
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAHEAT Rebound59
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Floating Jump Shot59
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0BOSMISS Rondo 17' Jump Shot59
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 259
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)59
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0BOSSUB: Green FOR Pierce59
71
Q3 - 0:57.0BOSPierce P.FOUL (P4.PN)59
71
Q3 - 1:10BOSDavis 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)59
5.0%
71
95.0%
Q3 - 1:25MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade57
71
Q3 - 1:25BOSSUB: Krstic FOR Garnett57
71
Q3 - 1:25BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)57
71
Q3 - 1:28MIAHoward 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)57
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 1:47MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q3 - 1:51BOSMISS Garnett 21' Jump Shot57
5.2%
69
94.8%
Q3 - 2:02BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
6.4%
69
93.6%
Q3 - 2:04MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot57
6.1%
69
93.9%
Q3 - 2:13MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
5.4%
69
94.6%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 2:45BOSPierce 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)57
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 3:04MIAWade 10' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 3:21MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh55
67
Q3 - 3:21MIAHEAT Rebound55
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 3:26BOSMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot55
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 3:35MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)55
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 3:35BOSSUB: West FOR Allen55
66
Q3 - 3:35BOSDavis S.FOUL (P3.T4)55
66
Q3 - 3:35MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)55
66
Q3 - 3:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
9.5%
64
90.5%
Q3 - 3:42MIAMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot55
10.6%
64
89.4%
Q3 - 3:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
9.5%
64
90.5%
Q3 - 3:56BOSWade BLOCK (1 BLK)55
10.0%
64
90.0%
Q3 - 4:00BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
11.2%
64
88.8%
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
11.0%
64
89.0%
Q3 - 4:28BOSRondo 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)55
9.7%
64
90.3%
Q3 - 4:36BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
8.5%
64
91.5%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot53
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q3 - 4:55BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)53
7.0%
64
93.0%
Q3 - 5:01MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T2)50
64
Q3 - 5:18MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)50
5.5%
64
94.5%
Q3 - 5:18MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)50
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 5:18BOSPierce S.FOUL (P3.T3)50
62
Q3 - 5:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 5:22BOSMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot50
6.7%
62
93.3%
Q3 - 5:31BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
7.6%
62
92.4%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup50
7.2%
62
92.8%
Q3 - 5:36MIAHEAT Rebound50
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 5:37MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup50
7.2%
62
92.8%
Q3 - 5:50MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)50
62
Q3 - 5:50BOSGarnett P.FOUL (P2.T2)50
62
Q3 - 5:50BOSJames STEAL (4 STL)50
6.3%
62
93.7%
Q3 - 6:00MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)50
7.6%
62
92.4%
Q3 - 6:13MIAHEAT Rebound50
6.8%
62
93.2%
Q3 - 6:15BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
7.2%
62
92.8%
Q3 - 6:16BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
8.0%
62
92.0%
Q3 - 6:17BOSMISS Garnett 9' Turnaround Jump Shot50
7.2%
62
92.8%
Q3 - 6:32MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
8.0%
62
92.0%
Q3 - 6:32MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas50
61
Q3 - 6:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
8.2%
61
91.8%
Q3 - 6:32BOSSUB: Davis FOR O'Neal50
60
Q3 - 6:32BOSO'Neal S.FOUL (P4.T1)50
60
Q3 - 6:56BOSGarnett 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)50
9.1%
60
90.9%
Q3 - 7:05MIAIlgauskas 2' Tip Shot (8 PTS)48
8.4%
60
91.6%
Q3 - 7:06MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)48
9.6%
58
90.4%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot48
10.6%
58
89.4%
Q3 - 7:26BOSRondo 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)48
9.6%
58
90.4%
Q3 - 7:34BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
8.4%
58
91.6%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMISS Ilgauskas 9' Jump Shot46
8.0%
58
92.0%
Q3 - 8:01BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
7.5%
58
92.5%
Q3 - 8:01BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)45
7.3%
58
92.7%
Q3 - 8:01MIABosh S.FOUL (P3.T1)44
58
Q3 - 8:08BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS James 16' Turnaround Jump Shot44
6.3%
58
93.7%
Q3 - 8:31BOSCeltics Turnover: Backcourt (T#13)44
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q3 - 8:46MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)44
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q3 - 9:06MIAHEAT Rebound44
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q3 - 9:07BOSMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
8.1%
56
91.9%
Q3 - 9:13BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
8.9%
56
91.1%
Q3 - 9:14MIAMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot44
8.5%
56
91.5%
Q3 - 9:31MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)44
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q3 - 9:32BOSBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)44
8.0%
56
92.0%
Q3 - 9:49MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)44
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q3 - 10:07BOSGarnett 2' Dunk (17 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)44
10.4%
54
89.6%
Q3 - 10:23BOSCeltics Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)42
54
Q3 - 10:23MIABibby 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)42
9.2%
54
90.8%
Q3 - 10:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q3 - 10:32BOSMISS Pierce 2' Driving Layup42
12.3%
51
87.7%
Q3 - 10:37MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)42
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q3 - 10:44BOSBibby STEAL (2 STL)42
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q3 - 11:10MIAJames 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)42
13.8%
51
86.2%
Q3 - 11:23BOSPierce 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)42
15.4%
49
84.6%
Q3 - 11:46MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)40
13.8%
49
86.2%
Q3 - 12:0040
47
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS40
15.4%
47
84.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot40
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
16.2%
47
83.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup40
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Anthony40
47
Q2 - 0:19.0MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard40
47
Q2 - 0:19.0BOSSUB: Green FOR Pierce40
47
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)40
47
Q2 - 0:26.0BOSJames STEAL (3 STL)40
47
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAJump Ball James vs. Pierce: Tip to Wade40
16.1%
47
83.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh40
47
Q2 - 0:37.0BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup40
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
16.1%
47
83.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)40
16.1%
47
83.9%
Q2 - 1:15BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
17.7%
47
82.3%
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Anthony 3' Tip Shot40
17.3%
47
82.7%
Q2 - 1:17MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)40
16.4%
47
83.6%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot40
17.3%
47
82.7%
Q2 - 1:40BOSRondo 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)40
16.4%
47
83.6%
Q2 - 1:49BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)38
14.2%
47
85.8%
Q2 - 1:49MIABosh T.FOUL (P2.T3)37
47
Q2 - 1:49BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
47
Q2 - 1:51MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)37
12.7%
47
87.3%
Q2 - 1:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
11.7%
47
88.3%
Q2 - 1:56BOSJames BLOCK (1 BLK)37
12.0%
47
88.0%
Q2 - 2:10MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)37
13.2%
47
86.8%
Q2 - 2:14MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)37
16.3%
44
83.7%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q2 - 2:36BOSDavis 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
16.3%
44
83.7%
Q2 - 3:06MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)35
15.0%
44
85.0%
Q2 - 3:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
16.3%
42
83.7%
Q2 - 3:14BOSMISS Garnett 9' Floating Jump Shot35
16.9%
42
83.1%
Q2 - 3:34MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T12)35
18.4%
42
81.6%
Q2 - 3:34MIAChalmers OFF.Foul (P2)35
42
Q2 - 3:48BOSAllen 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
16.3%
42
83.7%
Q2 - 4:12MIABosh 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)33
15.0%
42
85.0%
Q2 - 4:1933
40
Q2 - 4:19BOS33
40
Q2 - 4:19BOSSUB: Davis FOR O'Neal33
40
Q2 - 4:19MIAHEAT Rebound33
40
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS James Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 233
16.5%
40
83.5%
Q2 - 4:19MIAJames Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (10 PTS)33
15.2%
40
84.8%
Q2 - 4:19BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)33
18.2%
39
81.8%
Q2 - 4:19MIA32
39
Q2 - 4:19MIA32
39
Q2 - 4:19MIAJames T.FOUL (P0.T3)32
39
Q2 - 4:19BOSO'Neal FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P3.PN)32
39
Q2 - 4:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
16.5%
39
83.5%
Q2 - 4:22BOSMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot32
17.0%
39
83.0%
Q2 - 4:45BOSCeltics Rebound32
18.4%
39
81.6%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 132
18.1%
39
81.9%
Q2 - 4:46BOSO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.PN)32
39
Q2 - 4:46MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)32
39
Q2 - 4:48BOSJames STEAL (2 STL)32
20.1%
37
79.9%
Q2 - 4:50MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)32
22.3%
37
77.7%
Q2 - 5:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
20.4%
37
79.6%
Q2 - 5:03BOSMISS Garnett 13' Jump Shot32
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 5:21MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)32
37
Q2 - 5:21MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)32
22.4%
37
77.6%
Q2 - 5:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
20.4%
37
79.6%
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup32
21.7%
37
78.3%
Q2 - 5:49BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)32
20.4%
37
79.6%
Q2 - 6:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
19.0%
37
81.0%
Q2 - 6:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
19.4%
36
80.6%
Q2 - 6:04BOSO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.PN)30
35
Q2 - 6:10MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)30
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 6:10BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Green30
34
Q2 - 6:10BOSSUB: Rondo FOR West30
34
Q2 - 6:10BOSCeltics T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec O'Neal )30
34
Q2 - 6:20MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
22.4%
34
77.6%
Q2 - 6:21BOSMISS West 11' Turnaround Jump Shot30
23.1%
34
76.9%
Q2 - 6:39MIAChalmers 10' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
24.8%
34
75.2%
Q2 - 7:01BOSGarnett 2' Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (West 2 AST)30
26.7%
32
73.3%
Q2 - 7:09MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)28
24.7%
32
75.3%
Q2 - 7:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
28.9%
29
71.1%
Q2 - 7:31BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 228
29.2%
29
70.8%
Q2 - 7:31BOSCeltics Rebound28
29
Q2 - 7:31BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 228
30.9%
29
69.1%
Q2 - 7:31MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T3)28
29
Q2 - 7:50BOSSUB: O'Neal FOR Davis28
29
Q2 - 7:50MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T9)28
31.4%
29
68.6%
Q2 - 7:50MIAWade OFF.Foul (P2)28
29
Q2 - 8:03BOSGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
28.9%
29
71.1%
Q2 - 8:03MIASUB: James FOR Miller27
29
Q2 - 8:03BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
28.5%
29
71.5%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMiller S.FOUL (P2.T2)26
29
Q2 - 8:22MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)26
26.8%
29
73.2%
Q2 - 8:39BOSGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
31.2%
26
68.8%
Q2 - 8:39BOSGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
30.7%
26
69.3%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMiller S.FOUL (P1.T1)24
26
Q2 - 8:54BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
29.0%
26
71.0%
Q2 - 8:55MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 224
28.7%
26
71.3%
Q2 - 8:55MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
27.4%
26
72.6%
Q2 - 8:55MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones24
25
Q2 - 8:55BOSSUB: Garnett FOR Krstic24
25
Q2 - 8:5524
25
Q2 - 8:55BOSAllen S.FOUL (P1.T4)24
25
Q2 - 9:03BOSGreen P.FOUL (P2.T3)24
25
Q2 - 9:10BOSKrstic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)24
28.7%
25
71.3%
Q2 - 9:26BOSKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
31.0%
25
69.0%
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 224
30.7%
25
69.3%
Q2 - 9:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)24
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q2 - 9:27BOSDavis S.FOUL (P2.T2)24
24
Q2 - 9:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
30.9%
24
69.1%
Q2 - 9:41BOSMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot24
31.7%
24
68.3%
Q2 - 9:48BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
33.3%
24
66.7%
Q2 - 9:49MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot24
32.6%
24
67.4%
Q2 - 10:11BOSDavis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)24
30.8%
24
69.2%
Q2 - 10:29MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T8)22
28.9%
24
71.1%
Q2 - 10:29MIAJones OFF.Foul (P1)22
24
Q2 - 10:44BOSWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)22
26.6%
24
73.4%
Q2 - 11:00MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
28.9%
24
71.1%
Q2 - 11:00MIAHEAT Rebound22
23
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 222
29.2%
23
70.8%
Q2 - 11:00BOSDavis S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
23
Q2 - 11:11MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
28.8%
23
71.2%
Q2 - 11:13BOSJones BLOCK (1 BLK)22
29.4%
23
70.6%
Q2 - 11:28MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
31.0%
23
69.0%
Q2 - 11:42MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
33.0%
21
67.0%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot22
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q2 - 12:0022
21
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
33.0%
21
67.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
33.0%
21
67.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Davis 35' 3PT Jump Shot22
33.8%
21
66.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
37.4%
19
62.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0BOSMISS Davis 2' Driving Layup22
38.0%
19
62.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIASUB: Wade FOR James22
19
Q1 - 0:53.0BOSSUB: Krstic FOR Pierce22
19
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)22
39.4%
19
60.6%
Q1 - 1:01BOSJames STEAL (1 STL)22
37.2%
19
62.8%
Q1 - 1:12BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
38.9%
19
61.1%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
38.4%
19
61.6%
Q1 - 1:19MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
37.3%
19
62.7%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot22
38.4%
19
61.6%
Q1 - 1:29BOSPierce P.FOUL (P2.T4)22
19
Q1 - 1:31MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
37.3%
19
62.7%
Q1 - 1:32BOSMISS Pierce 12' Jump Shot22
37.8%
19
62.2%
Q1 - 1:54MIAAnthony 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)22
38.9%
19
61.1%
Q1 - 2:07BOSGreen L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)22
17
Q1 - 2:07MIAHEAT Rebound22
41.4%
17
58.6%
Q1 - 2:08BOSMISS Rondo 13' Running Jump Shot22
42.1%
17
57.9%
Q1 - 2:11MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade22
17
Q1 - 2:33BOSSUB: Green FOR Krstic22
17
Q1 - 2:33MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)22
43.5%
17
56.5%
Q1 - 2:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
41.5%
17
58.5%
Q1 - 2:46BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
42.1%
17
57.9%
Q1 - 3:03BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
43.3%
17
56.7%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
42.5%
17
57.5%
Q1 - 3:17BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)22
41.0%
17
59.0%
Q1 - 3:17BOSCeltics Rebound22
43.3%
17
56.7%
Q1 - 3:17BOSMISS Davis 13' Fadeaway Jumper22
41.7%
17
58.3%
Q1 - 3:35MIASUB: Miller FOR Howard22
17
Q1 - 3:35BOSSUB: Krstic FOR Allen22
17
Q1 - 3:35BOSSUB: West FOR Garnett22
17
Q1 - 3:35BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)22
17
Q1 - 3:47MIAAnthony 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)22
43.3%
17
56.7%
Q1 - 3:58MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
45.5%
15
54.5%
Q1 - 3:59BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
46.2%
15
53.8%
Q1 - 4:16MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)22
45.9%
15
54.1%
Q1 - 4:28BOSGarnett 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)22
43.7%
15
56.3%
Q1 - 5:01MIAJames 2' Dunk (7 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)19
39.3%
15
60.7%
Q1 - 5:11BOSPierce 9' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
40.9%
13
59.1%
Q1 - 5:31MIAJames 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)17
39.2%
13
60.8%
Q1 - 5:35BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)17
40.8%
11
59.2%
Q1 - 5:37MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
42.9%
11
57.1%
Q1 - 5:41MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
40.8%
11
59.2%
Q1 - 5:42BOSMISS Rondo 3' Driving Reverse Layup17
41.4%
11
58.6%
Q1 - 5:53MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
42.8%
11
57.2%
Q1 - 5:53MIAHEAT Rebound17
10
Q1 - 5:53MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 217
43.2%
10
56.8%
Q1 - 5:53BOSPierce S.FOUL (P1.T2)17
10
Q1 - 6:07BOSGarnett 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)17
42.0%
10
58.0%
Q1 - 6:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
40.2%
10
59.8%
Q1 - 6:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
40.6%
9
59.4%
Q1 - 6:23BOSGarnett S.FOUL (P1.T1)15
8
Q1 - 6:42BOSPierce 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
41.7%
8
58.3%
Q1 - 6:49MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas13
8
Q1 - 6:49MIABibby P.FOUL (P1.T4)13
8
Q1 - 7:02BOSSUB: Davis FOR O'Neal13
8
Q1 - 7:02MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T3)13
8
Q1 - 7:03MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
39.5%
8
60.5%
Q1 - 7:06BOSBibby STEAL (1 STL)13
37.7%
8
62.3%
Q1 - 7:25MIAHoward 3' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)13
39.3%
8
60.7%
Q1 - 7:36BOSGarnett 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
40.6%
6
59.4%
Q1 - 7:54MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)11
39.1%
6
60.9%
Q1 - 7:57BOSIlgauskas STEAL (1 STL)11
40.4%
4
59.6%
Q1 - 8:18MIAIlgauskas 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)11
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 8:19MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)11
42.6%
2
57.4%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Ilgauskas 2' Layup11
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 8:21MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
42.6%
2
57.4%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Wade 4' Running Jump Shot11
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 8:33BOSO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)11
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 8:51MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 9:11MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
2
Q1 - 9:15BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)11
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 9:38MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 9:59BOSGarnett 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)8
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 10:15MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh6
0
Q1 - 10:15MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
37.1%
0
62.9%
Q1 - 10:15MIABosh OFF.Foul (P2)6
0
Q1 - 10:39BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)6
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 10:50BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
34.6%
0
65.4%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot3
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 11:09BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
33.8%
0
66.2%
Q1 - 11:09BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
33.8%
0
66.2%
Q1 - 11:09MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.T2)1
0
Q1 - 11:13BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
33.4%
0
66.6%
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Ilgauskas 3' Tip Shot1
33.4%
0
66.6%
Q1 - 11:18MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
33.2%
0
66.8%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS James 8' Turnaround Jump Shot1
33.4%
0
66.6%
Q1 - 11:44BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 11:44BOSCeltics Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:44BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 20
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 11:44MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. O'Neal: Tip to Garnett0
33.9%
0
66.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
8
17
47%
MIA
18
28
64%
Midrange
BOS
15
34
44%
MIA
14
29
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
MIA
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
BOS
13
16
81%
MIA
18
26
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2480%12.0 / 15
K. Garnett2162%10.5 / 17
R. Allen1372%6.5 / 9
R. Rondo739%3.5 / 9
G. Davis627%3.0 / 11
J. Green467%2.0 / 3
N. Krstic2100%1.0 / 1
J. O'Neal0-0.0 / 2
D. West0-0.0 / 1
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 1
S. Pavlovic0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2761%13.5 / 22
D. Wade1447%7.0 / 15
C. Bosh1365%6.5 / 10
M. Chalmers956%4.5 / 8
Z. Ilgauskas857%4.0 / 7
J. Anthony758%3.5 / 6
M. Bibby630%3.0 / 10
J. Howard6100%3.0 / 3
J. Jones5125%2.5 / 2
M. Miller3150%1.5 / 1
J. Magloire2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
73
+5
-14
78
MIA
68
+18
-17
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
111.4
BOS 88.5
MIA 117.6 +29.1
Pace
90.6
91.3
BOS 88.2 +4.3
MIA 83.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.2
BOS 16.3 −0.8
MIA 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.9%
52.4%
BOS 50.0%
MIA 54.7% +4.7%
TO %
14.9%
14.4%
BOS 21.1%
MIA 17.2% −3.9%
ORB %
21.2%
25.2%
BOS 10.0%
MIA 39.5% +29.5%
FTrt
30.5
36.3
BOS 25.0
MIA 34.7 +9.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.5%
54.1%
BOS 55.2%
MIA 63.2% +8.0%
STL %
9.1%
7.3%
BOS 10.3%
MIA 10.6% +0.3%
BLK %
6.8%
8.5%
BOS 3.5%
MIA 7.8% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.3%
55.7%
BOS 49.4%
MIA 57.5% +8.1%
Rim FG%
61.6%
64.7%
BOS 47.1%
MIA 64.3% +17.2%
Mid FG%
42.6%
42.2%
BOS 44.1%
MIA 48.3% +4.2%
3P %
36.5%
37.0%
BOS 46.2% +12.9%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
77.0%
76.9%
BOS 81.3% +12.1%
MIA 69.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
31.6%
BOS 26.6%
MIA 37.3% +10.8%
Mid Att. %
44.6%
44.9%
BOS 53.1%
MIA 38.7% −14.5%
3P Att. %
18.0%
23.5%
BOS 20.3%
MIA 24.0% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions8785
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points77100
Rebounds2642
Assists1624
Steals99
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)14 (5)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (2)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)27 (4)
Field Goals29-6438-75
At-the-Rim FG8-1718-28
Midrange FG15-3414-29
2-Point FG23-5132-57
3-Point FG6-136-18
Free Throws13-1618-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 205 · 36
38.3
13
72%
2
3
1
1
2
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
G · 6'1" 186 · 25
36.6
7
39%
1
5
2
0
3
1
1
0
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 240 · 35
34.4
21
62%
4
2
2
0
2
2
0
4
2-4
50%
8-14
57%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 235 · 33
34.3
24
80%
7
2
2
0
4
4
0
7
3-3
100%
6-9
67%
3-5
60%
C · 6'11" 255 · 32
13.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25
25.1
6
27%
7
0
2
1
0
4
2
5
0-0
-
3-10
30%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
19.2
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 180 · 28
18.7
0
0%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 240 · 28
12.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 32
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 27
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#0 · G · 6'2" 180 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 6'5" 209 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#36 · C · 7'1" 325 · 39
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
77
49%
26
16
9
2
14
0
3
23
13-16
81%
23-51
45%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.