Final Win Prob. pScore
475%101
97
2525%92
79
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
114.18581.1
TOR logo Raptors
91.98690.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR97
79
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)97
79
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHeat Rebound97
79
Q4 - 0:04.0MIABayless BLOCK (1 BLK)97
79
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
79
Q4 - 0:28.0TORMISS Alabi 15' Jump Shot97
79
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMagloire 1' Layup (8 PTS)97
79
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:14)95
79
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot95
79
Q4 - 0:59.0TORDeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)95
79
Q4 - 1:12MIAMagloire 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 13 AST)95
77
Q4 - 1:31MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)93
77
Q4 - 1:33TORMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot93
77
Q4 - 1:44MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)93
77
Q4 - 2:02TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)93
77
Q4 - 2:02TORSUB: Alabi FOR Dorsey93
76
Q4 - 2:02TORRAPTORS Rebound93
76
Q4 - 2:02TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 293
76
Q4 - 2:02MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P4.T3)93
76
Q4 - 2:02TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)93
76
Q4 - 2:04TORMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup93
76
Q4 - 2:14MIAHoward 10' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)93
76
Q4 - 2:27MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)91
76
Q4 - 2:28TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Layup91
76
Q4 - 2:43TORRAPTORS Rebound91
76
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
76
Q4 - 2:52MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)91
76
Q4 - 2:52MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 291
76
Q4 - 2:52MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)91
76
Q4 - 2:5290
76
Q4 - 2:52TORDorsey P.FOUL (P2.PN)90
76
Q4 - 2:53MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)90
76
Q4 - 2:54TORMISS DeRozan 9' Pullup Jump Shot90
76
Q4 - 3:08MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)90
76
Q4 - 3:32MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)87
76
Q4 - 3:32TORMISS Bayless Free Throw 2 of 287
76
Q4 - 3:32TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)87
76
Q4 - 3:32MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P3.T2)87
75
Q4 - 3:52MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)87
75
Q4 - 4:03TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)87
75
Q4 - 4:03TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)87
74
Q4 - 4:03MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.T1)87
73
Q4 - 4:07TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)87
73
Q4 - 4:08MIAMISS House 16' Pullup Jump Shot87
73
Q4 - 4:34TORBayless 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)87
73
Q4 - 4:58MIAHoward 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)87
71
Q4 - 5:13TORDorsey L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)85
71
Q4 - 5:13MIAHeat Rebound85
71
Q4 - 5:14TORMISS Bayless 21' Jump Shot85
71
Q4 - 5:20TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
71
Q4 - 5:21MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot85
71
Q4 - 5:25TORDorsey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)85
71
Q4 - 5:28MIADorsey STEAL (4 STL)85
71
Q4 - 5:44TORDorsey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)85
71
Q4 - 5:47MIADorsey STEAL (3 STL)85
71
Q4 - 6:05TORDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)85
71
Q4 - 6:17TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)85
71
Q4 - 6:19MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Chalmers 12 AST)85
71
Q4 - 6:29MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
71
Q4 - 6:30TORMISS DeRozan 15' Jump Shot82
71
Q4 - 6:43MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Chalmers 11 AST)82
71
Q4 - 6:58MIAHeat Rebound79
71
Q4 - 6:59TORMISS DeRozan 3PT Jump Shot79
71
Q4 - 7:17MIAChalmers 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)79
71
Q4 - 7:40TORDeRozan 11' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)77
71
Q4 - 7:56TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Wright77
69
Q4 - 7:56MIAHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T10)77
69
Q4 - 7:56MIAHoward OFF.Foul (P2)77
69
Q4 - 8:14MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)77
69
Q4 - 8:15TORMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
69
Q4 - 8:25TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
69
Q4 - 8:27MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
69
Q4 - 8:46TORDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)77
69
Q4 - 8:49TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)77
69
Q4 - 8:50TORMISS Davis 3' Layup77
69
Q4 - 9:10TORSUB: Davis FOR Alabi77
69
Q4 - 9:10TORSUB: Dorsey FOR Ajinca77
69
Q4 - 9:10TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)77
69
Q4 - 9:10MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Chalmers 10 AST)77
69
Q4 - 9:33TORAjinca L.B.FOUL (P5.T3)74
69
Q4 - 9:33TORBayless Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)74
69
Q4 - 9:54MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
69
Q4 - 9:54TORSUB: Bayless FOR DeRozan73
69
Q4 - 9:54MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)73
69
Q4 - 9:54TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P1.T2)72
69
Q4 - 10:03MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
69
Q4 - 10:05MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot72
69
Q4 - 10:15MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)72
69
Q4 - 10:17TORMISS Ajinca 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
69
Q4 - 10:33TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
69
Q4 - 10:34MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
69
Q4 - 10:52MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)72
69
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot72
69
Q4 - 11:00TORAlabi Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)72
69
Q4 - 11:03TORAlabi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
69
Q4 - 11:04TORMISS Wright 5' Floating Jump Shot72
69
Q4 - 11:23MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
69
Q4 - 11:23MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)71
69
Q4 - 11:23TORAjinca S.FOUL (P4.T1)70
69
Q4 - 11:45MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)70
69
Q4 - 11:46TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot70
69
Q4 - 12:0070
69
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR70
69
Q3 - 0:00.0TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
69
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Howard 2' Driving Layup70
69
Q3 - 0:10.0TORAjinca Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)70
69
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)70
69
Q3 - 0:49.0MIASUB: Magloire FOR Ilgauskas67
69
Q3 - 0:49.0TORWright Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T10)67
69
Q3 - 0:51.0TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
69
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
69
Q3 - 1:20TORDavis 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)67
69
Q3 - 1:34TORRAPTORS Rebound67
67
Q3 - 1:36MIAAjinca BLOCK (1 BLK)67
67
Q3 - 1:58TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)67
67
Q3 - 2:15MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Bibby67
65
Q3 - 2:15MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)67
65
Q3 - 2:15TORRAPTORS Rebound67
65
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
65
Q3 - 2:24MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
65
Q3 - 2:26TORMISS Bayless 23' Pullup Jump Shot67
65
Q3 - 2:34TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
65
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot67
65
Q3 - 2:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
65
Q3 - 2:45TORMISS Ajinca 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
65
Q3 - 3:07MIABibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)67
65
Q3 - 3:17TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)64
65
Q3 - 3:37MIABibby 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)64
65
Q3 - 3:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)62
65
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS House 19' Jump Bank Shot62
65
Q3 - 3:53MIASUB: Howard FOR Jones62
65
Q3 - 3:53TORSUB: Ajinca FOR Dorsey62
65
Q3 - 3:53TORSUB: Wright FOR Johnson62
65
Q3 - 4:14TORJohnson 18' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
65
Q3 - 4:31MIAHouse 27' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)62
63
Q3 - 5:00TORDavis 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)59
63
Q3 - 5:22TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
61
Q3 - 5:23MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot59
61
Q3 - 5:41MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
61
Q3 - 5:41TORMISS Dorsey Free Throw 2 of 259
61
Q3 - 5:41TORRAPTORS Rebound59
61
Q3 - 5:41TORMISS Dorsey Free Throw 1 of 259
61
Q3 - 5:41TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)59
61
Q3 - 5:41MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P3.T2)59
61
Q3 - 5:42TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
61
Q3 - 5:43TORMISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
61
Q3 - 5:48TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
61
Q3 - 5:49TORMISS DeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot59
61
Q3 - 6:09MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)59
61
Q3 - 6:16MIAHeat Rebound59
61
Q3 - 6:16MIADorsey BLOCK (1 BLK)59
61
Q3 - 6:30TORDorsey 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)59
61
Q3 - 6:45MIAIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)59
59
Q3 - 7:05TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
59
Q3 - 7:05TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
58
Q3 - 7:05MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P2.T1)59
57
Q3 - 7:11TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
57
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot59
57
Q3 - 7:26MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
57
Q3 - 7:27TORMISS Bayless 18' Pullup Jump Shot59
57
Q3 - 7:38TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
57
Q3 - 7:39MIAMISS Bibby 16' Pullup Jump Shot59
57
Q3 - 7:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
57
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot59
57
Q3 - 8:15TORDeRozan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
57
Q3 - 8:27MIAIlgauskas 2' Layup (9 PTS)59
55
Q3 - 8:28MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)57
55
Q3 - 8:30MIADavis BLOCK (1 BLK)57
55
Q3 - 8:45TORDorsey 2' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)57
55
Q3 - 9:02MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)57
53
Q3 - 9:17TORBayless 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)54
53
Q3 - 9:43MIAIlgauskas 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)54
51
Q3 - 10:03TORBayless Traveling Turnover (P4.T8)52
51
Q3 - 10:11MIADorsey STEAL (2 STL)52
51
Q3 - 10:30TORJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)52
51
Q3 - 10:57MIAHouse 23' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ilgauskas 2 AST)52
51
Q3 - 11:00MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)50
51
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
51
Q3 - 11:16TORDavis Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T6)50
51
Q3 - 11:16TORRAPTORS Rebound50
51
Q3 - 11:16TORMISS DeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot50
51
Q3 - 11:35TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
51
Q3 - 11:36MIAMISS Ilgauskas 10' Turnaround Jump Shot50
51
Q3 - 12:0050
51
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR50
51
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound50
51
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 44' 3PT Running Jump Shot50
51
Q2 - 0:01.0TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
51
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot50
51
Q2 - 0:12.0TORWright 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)50
51
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAPittman 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)50
49
Q2 - 0:51.0TORDeRozan 1' Driving Slam Dunk (8 PTS)48
49
Q2 - 0:54.0MIADeRozan STEAL (2 STL)48
47
Q2 - 1:01TORSUB: Ajinca FOR Johnson48
47
Q2 - 1:01TORJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T4)48
47
Q2 - 1:16TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)48
47
Q2 - 1:16TORSUB: Wright FOR Bayless48
46
Q2 - 1:16MIASUB: Pittman FOR Jones48
46
Q2 - 1:16TORRAPTORS Rebound48
46
Q2 - 1:16TORMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 248
46
Q2 - 1:16MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.PN)48
46
Q2 - 1:23TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
46
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot48
46
Q2 - 1:45TORBayless Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)48
46
Q2 - 1:55TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
46
Q2 - 1:56MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot48
46
Q2 - 2:07MIAHeat Rebound48
46
Q2 - 2:07MIADeRozan BLOCK (1 BLK)48
46
Q2 - 2:13MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
46
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
46
Q2 - 2:23TORBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)48
46
Q2 - 2:30TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
46
Q2 - 2:31MIAMISS Howard 6' Jump Hook Shot48
46
Q2 - 2:55MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)48
46
Q2 - 2:56TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 148
46
Q2 - 2:56MIAHoward S.FOUL (P1.T4)48
46
Q2 - 2:56TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Dorsey 2 AST)48
46
Q2 - 3:16MIAHoward 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)48
44
Q2 - 3:25MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)46
44
Q2 - 3:33TORDavis 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)46
44
Q2 - 3:41TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
42
Q2 - 3:42MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot46
42
Q2 - 3:57TORBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)46
42
Q2 - 4:11MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)46
42
Q2 - 4:28TORDorsey 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)46
42
Q2 - 4:39MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)46
40
Q2 - 4:39MIAHeat Rebound45
40
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 245
40
Q2 - 4:39TORBayless S.FOUL (P2.T3)45
40
Q2 - 4:49TORSUB: Dorsey FOR Ajinca45
40
Q2 - 4:49TORAjinca L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)45
40
Q2 - 4:49MIAHeat Rebound45
40
Q2 - 4:49MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot45
40
Q2 - 5:02TORAjinca Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
40
Q2 - 5:02TORAjinca Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
39
Q2 - 5:02MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P2.T3)45
38
Q2 - 5:02TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)45
38
Q2 - 5:02TORMISS Davis 2' Layup45
38
Q2 - 5:02TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)45
38
Q2 - 5:02TORMISS Davis 4' Layup45
38
Q2 - 5:05TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
38
Q2 - 5:07TORMISS Bayless 2' Driving Layup45
38
Q2 - 5:11TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
38
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Howard 15' Jump Bank Shot45
38
Q2 - 5:39TORAjinca 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)45
38
Q2 - 5:51TORRAPTORS Rebound45
35
Q2 - 5:52TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 145
35
Q2 - 5:52MIASUB: House FOR Anthony45
35
Q2 - 5:52TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)45
35
Q2 - 5:52MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P3.T2)45
35
Q2 - 5:52TORJohnson 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)45
35
Q2 - 6:05MIAHoward 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)45
33
Q2 - 6:35TORBayless 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)43
33
Q2 - 6:52MIAMagloire Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)43
31
Q2 - 7:13TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
31
Q2 - 7:13MIASUB: Anthony FOR Pittman43
30
Q2 - 7:13TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Wright43
30
Q2 - 7:13TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
30
Q2 - 7:13MIAJones Shooting Block Foul (P2.T1)43
29
Q2 - 7:28MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)43
29
Q2 - 7:39MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
29
Q2 - 7:41TORMISS Johnson 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot40
29
Q2 - 7:53MIAMagloire 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)40
29
Q2 - 7:55MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
29
Q2 - 7:57MIAMISS Pittman 3' Layup38
29
Q2 - 7:58MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
29
Q2 - 8:00MIAMISS Howard 8' Turnaround Hook Shot38
29
Q2 - 8:23TORJohnson 2' Driving Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)38
29
Q2 - 8:37MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)38
27
Q2 - 8:51TORSUB: Ajinca FOR Alabi35
27
Q2 - 8:51MIASUB: Jones FOR House35
27
Q2 - 8:5135
27
Q2 - 8:51TORJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T1)35
27
Q2 - 9:13TORWright 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)35
27
Q2 - 9:18TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
25
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot35
25
Q2 - 9:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
25
Q2 - 9:26TORMISS Bayless 2' Driving Layup35
25
Q2 - 9:44MIAHoward 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)35
25
Q2 - 10:10TORBayless 8' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)33
25
Q2 - 10:27MIAHoward 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)33
23
Q2 - 10:49TORBayless 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)31
23
Q2 - 10:56MIAHoward 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)31
21
Q2 - 11:05MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
21
Q2 - 11:07TORMISS Davis 16' Turnaround Jump Shot29
21
Q2 - 11:16TORBayless Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)29
21
Q2 - 11:16MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Chalmers )29
20
Q2 - 11:35TORRAPTORS Rebound29
20
Q2 - 11:35MIAAlabi BLOCK (2 BLK)29
20
Q2 - 11:38MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
20
Q2 - 11:39MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
20
Q2 - 12:0029
20
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR29
20
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR29
20
Q1 - 0:00.0TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
20
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAlabi BLOCK (1 BLK)29
20
Q1 - 0:21.0TORWright 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Dorsey 1 AST)29
20
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)29
18
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
18
Q1 - 0:56.0TORMISS DeRozan 12' Pullup Jump Shot27
18
Q1 - 1:20MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)27
18
Q1 - 1:26MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
18
Q1 - 1:28TORMISS Johnson 5' Running Bank Shot24
18
Q1 - 1:35MIAHouse 8' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)24
18
Q1 - 1:45MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
18
Q1 - 1:46TORMISS Alabi 6' Jump Hook Shot22
18
Q1 - 2:12MIAHouse 23' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)22
18
Q1 - 2:29MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
18
Q1 - 2:30TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 220
18
Q1 - 2:30TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
18
Q1 - 2:30MIAPittman P.FOUL (P1.PN)20
17
Q1 - 2:42MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)20
17
Q1 - 2:56MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
17
Q1 - 2:56TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 218
17
Q1 - 2:56TORRAPTORS Rebound18
17
Q1 - 2:56TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 218
17
Q1 - 2:56TORSUB: Johnson FOR Bayless18
17
Q1 - 2:56MIASUB: Pittman FOR Ilgauskas18
17
Q1 - 2:56MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
17
Q1 - 2:56MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P1.PN)18
17
Q1 - 3:13MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)18
17
Q1 - 3:34MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17
Q1 - 3:35TORMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot15
17
Q1 - 3:40TORBayless Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)15
17
Q1 - 3:40MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Ilgauskas )15
16
Q1 - 3:56MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
16
Q1 - 3:56MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
16
Q1 - 3:56TORBayless P.FOUL (P1.PN)13
16
Q1 - 4:11TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
16
Q1 - 4:11MIASUB: Magloire FOR Anthony13
15
Q1 - 4:11MIASUB: Howard FOR Jones13
15
Q1 - 4:11TORSUB: Wright FOR Johnson13
15
Q1 - 4:11TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
15
Q1 - 4:11MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.PN)13
14
Q1 - 4:14TORAlabi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
14
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Ilgauskas 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot13
14
Q1 - 4:40TORDeRozan 17' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
14
Q1 - 5:03MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
12
Q1 - 5:03TORSUB: Alabi FOR Ajinca12
12
Q1 - 5:03MIAHeat Rebound12
12
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 212
12
Q1 - 5:03TORAjinca S.FOUL (P2.PN)12
12
Q1 - 5:17TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
12
Q1 - 5:17TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
11
Q1 - 5:17MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T4)12
10
Q1 - 5:34MIAIlgauskas 7' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)12
10
Q1 - 5:45MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Bibby10
10
Q1 - 5:45TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
10
Q1 - 5:45TORJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T4)10
10
Q1 - 5:58TORJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)10
10
Q1 - 6:16MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)10
8
Q1 - 6:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
8
Q1 - 6:25TORMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot7
8
Q1 - 6:41MIADeRozan STEAL (1 STL)7
8
Q1 - 6:53TORAjinca Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
8
Q1 - 6:53TORAjinca Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)7
7
Q1 - 6:53MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T3)7
6
Q1 - 7:14MIAHouse 19' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)7
6
Q1 - 7:29TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
6
Q1 - 7:43MIAHouse 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
6
Q1 - 7:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
6
Q1 - 7:52TORMISS Dorsey 3' Driving Hook Shot3
6
Q1 - 8:09MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
6
Q1 - 8:09MIAHeat Rebound2
6
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 22
6
Q1 - 8:09TORAjinca S.FOUL (P1.T3)2
6
Q1 - 8:25TORAjinca Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 8:25TORRAPTORS Rebound2
5
Q1 - 8:25TORMISS Ajinca Free Throw 1 of 22
5
Q1 - 8:25MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T2)2
5
Q1 - 8:37TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
5
Q1 - 8:38MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot2
5
Q1 - 8:46TORSUB: Ajinca FOR Davis2
5
Q1 - 8:46TORDavis Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
5
Q1 - 8:46TORDavis Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T2)2
5
Q1 - 8:54TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
5
Q1 - 8:55MIAMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot2
5
Q1 - 9:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
5
Q1 - 9:13TORMISS Dorsey Free Throw 2 of 22
5
Q1 - 9:13TORDorsey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
5
Q1 - 9:13MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 9:20MIADorsey STEAL (1 STL)2
4
Q1 - 9:43TORDeRozan 1' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)2
4
Q1 - 9:56TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 9:57TORMISS DeRozan 2' Layup2
2
Q1 - 10:04MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)2
2
Q1 - 10:15TORBayless 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 10:28TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
0
Q1 - 10:30TORMISS Bayless 3PT Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:33TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:35MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)2
0
Q1 - 10:37MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
0
Q1 - 10:38MIAMISS Anthony 4' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:51MIAHeat Rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:53TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:13MIABibby 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:18TORDavis L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:18MIAHeat Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:38TORMISS DeRozan 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Dorsey vs. Anthony: Tip to Davis0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.5%
TOR
0.95 47.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
7
15
47%
TOR
15
26
58%
Midrange
MIA
17
40
43%
TOR
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
26
50%
75%
TOR
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
Free Throws
MIA
10
14
71%
TOR
22
34
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. House3565%17.5 / 27
J. Howard1864%9.0 / 14
J. Jones1255%6.0 / 11
Z. Ilgauskas950%4.5 / 9
J. Magloire867%4.0 / 6
M. Bibby744%3.5 / 8
M. Chalmers542%2.5 / 6
D. Pittman250%1.0 / 2
J. Anthony110%0.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Bayless2162%10.5 / 17
D. DeRozan1841%9.0 / 22
J. Johnson1246%6.0 / 13
A. Ajinca867%4.0 / 6
E. Davis744%3.5 / 8
J. Dorsey758%3.5 / 6
J. Wright660%3.0 / 5
S. Alabi0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+18
-14
89
TOR
69
+13
-17
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.5%
TOR
0.95 47.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
105.9
MIA 114.1 +22.3
TOR 91.9
Pace
91.3
93.1
MIA 81.1
TOR 90.3 +9.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.1
MIA 17.8
TOR 15.9 −1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.1%
MIA 53.7% +9.2%
TOR 44.5%
TO %
14.4%
15.0%
MIA 14.7% −3.0%
TOR 17.7%
ORB %
25.2%
28.3%
MIA 36.1% +9.1%
TOR 27.0%
FTrt
36.3
29.3
MIA 17.3
TOR 53.1 +35.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
57.1%
MIA 54.1%
TOR 57.1% +3.0%
STL %
7.3%
7.6%
MIA 7.1%
TOR 9.3% +2.2%
BLK %
8.5%
6.7%
MIA 1.8%
TOR 14.5% +12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
52.1%
MIA 54.5% +6.9%
TOR 47.6%
Rim FG%
64.7%
58.9%
MIA 46.7%
TOR 57.7% +11.0%
Mid FG%
42.2%
41.2%
MIA 42.5% +2.5%
TOR 40.0%
3P %
37.0%
31.6%
MIA 50.0% +37.5%
TOR 12.5%
FT %
76.9%
75.5%
MIA 71.4% +6.7%
TOR 64.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
39.1%
MIA 18.5%
TOR 40.6% +22.1%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
44.7%
MIA 49.4%
TOR 46.9% −2.5%
3P Att. %
23.5%
16.2%
MIA 32.1% +19.6%
TOR 12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points9779
Rebounds4033
Assists2016
Steals68
Blocks18
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)23 (4)
Field Goals37-8128-64
At-the-Rim FG7-1515-26
Midrange FG17-4012-30
2-Point FG24-5527-56
3-Point FG13-261-8
Free Throws10-1422-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
45.0
35
65%
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
7-14
50%
7-13
54%
F · 6'8" 218 · 31
35.5
12
55%
4
2
1
0
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
0%
4-6
67%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
21.2
1
10%
3
1
0
0
0
3
2
1
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
20.2
9
50%
4
2
0
0
1
3
3
1
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
16.0
7
44%
1
1
1
0
4
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
32.1
18
64%
6
0
0
0
1
2
2
4
4-4
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
32.0
5
42%
2
13
2
1
4
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
29.0
8
67%
19
0
2
0
1
4
5
14
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 285 · 23
9.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
55%
40
20
6
1
14
0
13
27
10-14
71%
24-55
44%
13-26
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.