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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 13, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Trail Blazers54%10086
15Warriors46%99110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 25.7
40.3
5.1
8
35%
13
1
1
0
1
2
8
5
6-8
75%
1-8
0-1
13%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 29.7
36.6
4.0
5
23%
13
3
0
0
0
3
4
9
1-2
50%
2-10
1-1
20%
41%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.0
34.9
23.1
5
31%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
1-5
20%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.5
24.0
28.8
18
84%
1
1
0
1
0
4
0
1
4-4
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
4-7
57%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.1
7.1
31.7
4
67%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
4-9
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.1
34.8
2.8
12
45%
3
3
2
0
0
5
0
3
2-3
67%
5-11
0-1
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
33.3
2.8
11
31%
11
3
0
0
0
3
3
8
1-2
50%
2-12
0-1
17%
51%
2-5
40%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.7
29.0
7.9
23
62%
5
2
2
0
0
0
2
3
5-6
83%
3-9
1-2
33%
47%
4-7
57%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.7
34.8
1
4-8
51%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
33.4
1
8-15
51%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.1
20.2
1
2-3
46%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.7
19.7
1
3-6
49%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.2
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.3
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.6
48.0
22.4
28
78%
7
5
1
0
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
8-10
3-5
80%
51%
4-8
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.0
40.5
33.9
13
45%
6
2
3
1
1
2
1
5
1-3
33%
6-13
7-12
46%
53%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.4
36.0
38.0
20
46%
5
6
4
1
1
1
0
5
1-2
50%
5-12
4-8
42%
48%
3-9
33%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.9
29.1
26.1
3
26%
8
4
4
0
2
1
4
4
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.1
24.1
33.2
18
76%
3
9
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-7
5-9
71%
50%
2-4
50%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
23.9
14.5
12
68%
5
5
2
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
4-6
2-3
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.3
12.0
18.1
4
40%
2
0
0
0
3
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.3
12.0
12.6
6
104%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 25.2
10.3
3.7
6
77%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
4.2
11.1
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.5
21.7
1
3-7
49%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.1
3.4
0
0-0
42%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.0
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.