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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 26, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat61%9570
20Wizards39%91104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.4
24.1
1.7
10
52%
4
0
0
0
1
4
1
3
4-6
67%
3-7
0-1
43%
56%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
19.1
24.2
6
51%
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.6
18.8
22.4
3
38%
2
1
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.9
17.1
24.3
8
40%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-4
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.2
16.9
22.6
8
82%
3
1
0
0
1
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.7
31.1
16.1
6
28%
5
3
0
1
0
3
2
3
3-4
75%
0-4
1-2
0%
49%
1-5
20%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
30.9
24.0
14
64%
0
2
0
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
45%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.6
29.2
24.7
8
40%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
39%
1-5
20%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.2
28.9
12.5
2
14%
5
0
0
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-7
1-3
14%
45%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.3
17.9
20.6
5
66%
5
1
3
1
1
1
1
4
3-4
75%
1-2
2-3
50%
58%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
5.9
23.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.3
20.4
1
5-9
56%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.2
17.5
0
3-6
52%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.3
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.6
25.3
31.8
7
39%
2
12
2
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-8
5-11
38%
43%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.4
25.3
26.6
15
64%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
6-10
5-10
60%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.4
24.8
20.8
7
44%
5
0
2
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
40%
1-2
50%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.0
23.5
23.9
11
70%
8
1
3
1
1
1
2
6
1-2
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
21.8
25.2
12
61%
3
0
2
1
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
41%
2-4
50%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
26.2
13.8
5
36%
4
1
5
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.5
23.2
18.7
18
63%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
5-10
2-3
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.0
22.7
14.9
6
104%
2
7
0
1
0
6
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
42%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.8
21.7
19.7
4
50%
8
3
0
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.6
18.9
21.0
15
82%
7
3
0
1
2
2
1
6
3-5
60%
6-7
4-8
86%
54%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.4
6.7
4.0
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
40%
0-1
0%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.5
16.7
1
3-6
44%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.4
7.7
0
1-2
51%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.