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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 26, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks48%9489
10Hawks52%95106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.2
33.6
22.2
13
50%
5
6
0
1
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
1-3
33%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.0
27.2
26.9
4
23%
8
3
1
1
0
1
3
5
0-2
0%
2-7
3-7
29%
49%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.9
26.1
32.2
22
73%
3
1
0
1
0
4
0
3
7-7
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
49%
1-1
100%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.8
20.7
27.7
3
38%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.4
13.9
15.7
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.6
26.0
22.8
11
51%
5
5
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-4
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.2
22.9
26.3
6
43%
1
3
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
17.1
16.8
6
38%
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-2
0%
3-7
3-5
43%
56%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.5
17.0
16.8
4
67%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.5
15.7
11.0
3
22%
6
2
0
0
0
1
1
5
3-4
75%
0-4
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.4
7.7
6.7
7
70%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.5
6.9
1.9
4
69%
1
0
3
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 35.0
5.3
1.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
40%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.1
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.3
36.4
21.9
12
55%
5
3
2
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
2-6
33%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.9
28.4
27.9
17
77%
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
51%
3-4
75%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.4
28.3
31.6
23
73%
9
7
1
1
0
1
2
7
3-4
75%
10-13
7-14
77%
49%
0-1
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
24.4
30.8
15
68%
4
3
0
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
6-7
4-8
86%
48%
1-4
25%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.4
16.3
13.9
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
42%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.9
22.7
28.4
6
32%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
48%
1-3
33%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
21.6
17.4
11
65%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.0
21.5
22.3
10
68%
6
1
2
1
1
1
1
5
2-3
67%
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
0-1
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.9
13.8
16.2
2
33%
8
4
0
0
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.5
12.2
3.2
2
20%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.4
9.0
6.3
2
33%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.8
5.4
1.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.5
16.9
1
1-3
41%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.2
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.