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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 26, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hornets34%9377
16Rockets66%9984
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.0
45.8
23.3
11
58%
8
0
1
0
2
2
2
6
7-8
88%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
43.5
31.0
11
38%
10
3
0
1
0
0
0
10
1-3
33%
2-10
3-7
20%
44%
2-3
67%
Jerome Dyson
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.0
41.2
19.5
15
45%
2
1
3
1
1
4
1
1
3-6
50%
6-11
2-4
55%
42%
0-3
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.1
16.1
27.2
9
56%
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.2
4.9
16.7
2
50%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Darryl Watkins
C · 6'11" 258 · 27.5
42.0
11.8
13
55%
10
1
3
0
1
4
1
9
7-13
54%
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.3
39.4
28.5
8
29%
3
6
2
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
48%
2-7
29%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.6
7.0
23.3
8
80%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
4-8
80%
50%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.1
22.0
1
3-5
51%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
18.9
1
3-6
49%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.1
13.5
0
2-4
43%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.0
8.7
0
2-3
47%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
7.2
0
1-2
45%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.9
42.1
26.0
27
70%
4
0
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
5-9
2-5
56%
50%
5-9
56%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
35.1
33.7
8
37%
5
13
2
1
1
3
2
3
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
52%
0-5
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.6
32.8
36.0
10
36%
6
2
1
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
48%
2-6
33%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.0
27.1
27.6
0
0%
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-7
6-11
0%
51%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.0
18.3
11.7
11
64%
11
0
0
0
0
0
6
5
5-6
83%
3-6
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
30.9
26.6
9
27%
11
1
1
1
1
1
3
8
1-1
100%
4-15
4-9
27%
49%
0-1
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
21.1
5.1
7
35%
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
48%
1-5
20%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.3
19.6
2.7
8
67%
10
1
1
0
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
4-6
0-0
67%
49%
0-0
-
Courtney Fortson
G · 5'11" 185 · 23.9
12.9
2.8
4
41%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.5
29.2
1
3-6
52%
Diamon Simpson
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
7.9
0
1-2
46%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.2
6.7
0
1-1
48%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.1
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.1
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 35.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.