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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 26, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Lakers63%10596
22Kings37%101113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.2
37.7
11.2
16
62%
9
4
0
0
0
2
2
7
2-2
100%
4-9
1-2
44%
54%
2-3
67%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.8
29.7
14.1
8
33%
8
2
3
0
1
2
2
6
0-0
-
4-12
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.5
28.8
19.6
14
64%
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
7-11
2-4
64%
49%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
26.6
25.5
14
49%
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
6-12
3-7
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.2
23.0
24.1
4
34%
0
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32.0
28.6
7.0
12
60%
6
3
1
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
6-10
0-1
60%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
25.0
2.7
11
46%
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-7
0-1
14%
46%
3-5
60%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.3
21.4
2.6
9
45%
3
5
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
0-1
43%
48%
1-3
33%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
19.2
5.2
8
58%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.8
34.9
1
7-14
53%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.5
28.4
0
7-13
57%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.7
27.7
1
6-12
49%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.5
25.5
1
3-5
47%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.7
37.8
31.5
23
52%
19
2
1
1
0
1
8
11
5-7
71%
9-18
8-17
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.8
35.6
33.7
17
67%
10
3
2
1
2
0
3
7
3-4
75%
7-11
4-9
64%
52%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
31.2
32.2
21
67%
4
2
1
1
0
4
1
3
3-4
75%
9-13
5-11
69%
48%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.6
28.1
25.0
11
51%
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-6
2-6
33%
42%
2-4
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.2
26.0
33.7
11
92%
1
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
48%
1-1
100%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.2
24.4
15.5
10
50%
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
43%
2-4
50%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.8
15.2
5.1
7
70%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.2
12.4
9.7
5
34%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
49%
0-2
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.3
12.0
17.0
2
25%
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.8
9.6
10.4
4
50%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.9
7.8
16.2
2
50%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.9
11.3
0
2-3
49%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.9
2.3
0
0-1
50%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.