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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Knicks56%99111
16Bulls44%97118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.8
49.0
32.2
19
56%
5
6
0
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
46%
3-6
50%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.9
45.1
32.5
36
47%
19
2
0
1
1
2
6
13
10-10
100%
13-30
7-16
43%
47%
0-4
0%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.1
29.3
20.5
14
44%
5
2
1
0
2
2
1
4
3-4
75%
1-6
2-5
17%
49%
3-8
38%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.8
26.4
20.3
7
117%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.9
23.6
19.0
7
79%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
1-2
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.6
42.5
31.4
28
47%
14
4
0
1
0
0
4
10
4-7
57%
9-23
5-10
39%
46%
2-4
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 40.1
36.8
23.8
0
0%
6
2
0
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-4
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.8
12.4
17.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.5
19.7
0
2-3
61%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 35.3
15.2
1
2-3
50%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.5
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 39.1
3.1
0
0-1
42%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.6
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.6
50.3
41.4
22
64%
14
2
3
1
3
0
7
7
2-5
40%
7-12
4-8
58%
50%
2-3
67%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.3
50.2
32.0
11
43%
6
5
1
1
2
1
1
5
4-4
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
1-6
17%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.4
46.6
38.1
13
45%
15
2
2
1
2
5
0
15
7-8
88%
3-11
8-17
27%
50%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
33.3
20.0
16
59%
8
1
0
1
1
0
2
6
5-6
83%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
25.5
17.0
7
47%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.9
32.5
28.6
35
78%
3
2
0
1
1
2
0
3
10-10
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
48%
5-11
45%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.2
25.6
11.4
14
46%
3
8
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-3
33%
5-12
2-4
42%
46%
1-2
50%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.1
0.5
2.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
0.4
11.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
0.1
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.6
24.1
1
3-6
47%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
8.6
0
0-1
45%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.1
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.