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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder61%104116
12Warriors39%10097
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.5
34.5
37.5
31
76%
10
8
3
1
1
4
1
9
9-10
90%
8-13
7-14
62%
53%
2-3
67%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
30.4
33.7
18
48%
3
9
0
2
2
6
2
1
3-4
75%
6-12
8-16
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.6
28.1
30.5
17
72%
7
0
1
0
3
2
2
5
2-2
100%
6-9
5-8
67%
57%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.9
22.3
25.9
10
56%
7
0
1
1
0
0
0
7
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
53%
3-6
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.4
16.6
25.4
2
50%
3
1
2
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.0
21.6
17.8
4
29%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-2
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.2
19.4
24.7
23
102%
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3-3
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
4-5
80%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.7
19.4
11.7
7
44%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
39%
1-4
25%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.1
18.1
7.7
4
67%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
56%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.5
17.6
18.8
0
0%
4
3
1
1
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
59%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.1
6.8
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.7
5.3
2.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 25.0
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.9
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.1
34.9
37.9
22
60%
3
7
2
2
0
4
0
3
1-1
100%
6-12
4-10
50%
47%
3-6
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.0
31.8
35.3
13
48%
11
0
1
1
1
3
2
9
1-1
100%
6-13
7-13
46%
51%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.2
30.7
35.3
6
28%
0
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
45%
0-3
0%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.9
20.7
23.9
9
51%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
1-1
100%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.4
9.1
25.1
0
0%
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.5
28.8
27.1
19
65%
4
6
3
1
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
2-3
67%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.6
21.8
19.0
10
63%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.5
20.6
11.2
6
52%
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
2-4
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.1
15.4
8.2
3
52%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.8
11.5
4.7
5
66%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-4
25%
2-2
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.8
8.3
4.3
4
34%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
2-4
1-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
6.3
3.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.8
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.