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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Bulls41%9488
14Raptors59%9797
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.6
43.0
16.2
16
55%
13
1
1
0
1
1
5
8
4-6
67%
6-12
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.6
36.6
41.7
7
51%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
50%
1-2
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
33.6
24.9
10
46%
1
8
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
1-4
25%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.4
31.6
38.6
19
49%
12
0
0
1
0
2
1
11
1-1
100%
9-19
8-16
47%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.3
19.4
36.4
3
50%
0
1
2
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.9
32.6
28.4
17
57%
4
6
0
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
47%
3-5
60%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
25.6
19.8
9
60%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.2
14.9
16.1
7
70%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
2.8
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
6.4
0
0-1
44%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
4.8
0
0-1
39%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.1
2.2
0
0-0
45%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
41.5
30.5
23
51%
3
2
5
1
3
4
0
3
6-8
75%
7-17
5-11
41%
47%
1-2
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
40.4
31.4
19
70%
1
1
1
1
0
4
0
1
7-8
88%
6-10
6-13
60%
47%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
39.9
33.3
24
72%
9
2
1
1
1
3
3
6
3-4
75%
9-13
5-8
69%
57%
1-2
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.1
35.6
29.8
13
53%
9
11
2
1
0
1
1
8
5-5
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-3
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.3
21.2
4.7
6
51%
6
3
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-5
0-1
40%
52%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
35.0
19.1
10
65%
9
0
1
1
3
0
4
5
4-6
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
14.2
12.2
2
25%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.4
12.4
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.2
18.5
1
2-4
48%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
12.2
0
1-3
51%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.8
10.7
0
1-2
43%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.3
4.6
0
0-1
47%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.2
3.5
0
0-0
46%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.