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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Nets31%91117
6Pacers69%98109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.8
41.7
32.2
33
60%
2
14
1
1
1
5
1
1
8-10
80%
5-13
4-8
38%
47%
5-10
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.8
39.1
28.4
24
67%
6
4
3
1
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
45%
4-8
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 25.0
35.8
28.5
24
64%
6
0
0
0
5
4
2
4
4-6
67%
10-16
7-14
63%
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.9
24.4
29.7
3
39%
12
0
1
1
0
1
2
10
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.9
24.4
17.6
0
0%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-3
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.4
23.8
14.6
13
84%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
40%
1-1
100%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
20.2
16.8
6
50%
6
0
1
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.2
15.3
16.4
4
69%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.0
15.2
18.2
10
83%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
39%
2-3
67%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
16.5
1
2-5
47%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.6
5.2
0
0-1
44%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
4.3
0
1-1
40%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
4.2
0
0-1
41%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
43.0
33.4
21
56%
4
4
1
2
3
4
1
3
4-4
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
49%
3-7
43%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.6
38.3
30.5
26
88%
9
2
3
1
1
4
0
9
4-4
100%
11-13
6-11
85%
51%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.9
36.3
33.2
17
51%
1
10
1
1
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
51%
3-7
43%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.6
36.0
28.8
13
56%
4
6
2
1
1
3
2
2
1-6
17%
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
2-4
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.3
31.8
26.1
18
54%
10
1
0
0
2
0
5
5
4-4
100%
7-15
5-11
47%
49%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.4
17.7
17.1
9
54%
3
0
1
0
0
3
3
0
3-3
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.9
16.9
5.7
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.4
11.7
15.7
1
35%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.4
8.0
14.9
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.1
0.4
13.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.2
11.5
0
1-3
46%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.0
7.7
0
1-2
51%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.6
3.3
0
0-1
51%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30.0
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.