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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Celtics29%91101
5Heat71%99109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
36.4
32.2
25
67%
8
2
0
1
0
0
0
8
4-4
100%
9-11
5-10
82%
48%
1-6
17%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.5
35.6
19.9
20
60%
4
2
2
1
0
4
1
3
4-4
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.4
34.4
21.0
7
39%
1
2
4
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.0
34.3
29.3
17
76%
9
1
0
1
0
2
3
6
5-5
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.5
32.5
21.8
18
56%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
6-10
2-4
60%
47%
2-6
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.6
27.8
23.2
6
33%
1
3
2
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.8
17.1
12.0
6
38%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
11.4
12.9
2
100%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 29.4
9.8
15.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
0.8
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.5
27.8
1
3-7
46%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.9
21.5
1
4-9
49%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.1
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.2
34.5
16.6
11
38%
7
6
2
1
1
5
0
7
3-6
50%
4-12
4-7
33%
53%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.9
31.9
27.6
9
90%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
3-5
60%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.3
28.9
18.4
20
85%
6
9
0
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
8-10
4-7
80%
58%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.1
24.8
23.3
17
67%
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
5-6
83%
6-10
4-7
60%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
24.0
23.0
0
0%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-6
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.7
24.8
25.5
17
104%
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
4-5
80%
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
3-4
75%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
24.1
28.3
19
77%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-3
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
3-5
60%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
21.5
22.1
12
76%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
3-3
100%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.8
19.2
21.7
4
52%
5
0
3
1
2
2
2
3
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
56%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.5
2.2
15.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
2.2
12.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 40.2
2.2
2.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.1
2.6
0
0-1
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.