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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats31%9793
24Pistons69%104113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.6
36.6
32.3
8
62%
8
0
0
1
2
2
1
7
0-1
0%
4-6
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.9
36.5
32.4
28
59%
5
6
0
2
0
5
0
5
6-6
100%
5-13
5-10
38%
46%
4-8
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.1
35.6
36.9
17
67%
7
2
1
1
0
3
2
5
3-4
75%
7-9
4-8
78%
50%
0-2
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
35.3
36.4
15
40%
1
5
3
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
5-14
6-13
36%
48%
1-4
25%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.5
31.3
24.8
7
44%
7
2
1
1
2
1
5
2
1-2
50%
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.5
19.6
15.2
11
69%
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
3-6
50%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.0
16.5
17.8
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
1-3
33%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.9
12.2
7.5
2
53%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.2
11.6
8.7
2
50%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.7
4.7
10.8
0
0%
0
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.6
10.9
0
1-2
52%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.2
5.4
0
1-1
45%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.0
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.4
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.4
33.5
33.7
19
82%
7
2
1
1
0
5
2
5
4-6
67%
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
3-3
100%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.9
32.0
33.5
12
56%
6
4
4
1
0
2
3
3
4-4
100%
4-9
7-14
44%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.7
27.6
26.8
15
51%
9
0
2
1
1
5
5
4
1-4
25%
7-13
5-8
54%
61%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.0
25.9
32.6
4
27%
2
9
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
0-6
4-9
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.9
22.3
23.8
10
83%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
2-2
100%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.1
27.9
21.2
21
57%
8
1
1
1
1
1
3
5
1-1
100%
7-14
3-5
50%
54%
2-4
50%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.3
26.8
16.0
15
64%
3
10
1
1
0
4
0
3
4-4
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.7
25.7
22.6
9
56%
3
4
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
1-4
25%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.5
9.7
4.9
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.6
7.3
11.3
6
150%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
2-2
100%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.6
1.3
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
59%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
12.7
0
1-2
53%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.4
4.1
0
1-1
48%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.