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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies41%9782
7Rockets59%10078
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.5
36.0
34.1
12
36%
7
5
2
2
0
1
0
7
4-6
67%
4-11
5-10
36%
48%
0-3
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.2
35.6
31.8
15
48%
11
5
3
1
3
0
3
8
5-6
83%
5-12
5-10
42%
51%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.1
35.1
26.7
9
57%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.7
28.9
28.8
15
53%
8
1
1
1
1
0
4
4
5-5
100%
5-12
5-11
42%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.2
24.9
25.2
10
32%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-8
25%
4-11
4-8
36%
48%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
30.2
28.0
13
45%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
46%
2-4
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.9
11.7
9.2
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
1-3
33%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
11.6
21.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
10.4
7.1
2
33%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.9
9.3
13.2
3
38%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.9
6.3
18.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.9
8.6
0
1-3
50%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.0
4.8
0
1-1
47%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
45.2
32.7
17
54%
5
5
0
2
1
4
1
4
5-6
83%
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
2-5
40%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.6
44.0
34.5
30
50%
7
6
2
1
2
8
1
6
11-14
79%
2-14
4-8
14%
49%
5-10
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.8
34.4
31.3
8
45%
11
1
0
1
1
3
3
8
2-2
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
54%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.3
22.1
27.0
6
38%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
2-7
29%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.3
20.6
22.7
5
53%
7
2
1
0
1
0
4
3
1-4
25%
2-3
3-5
67%
57%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.3
28.5
20.2
7
50%
12
2
1
1
2
2
5
7
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.8
23.2
19.9
3
50%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-3
33%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.6
15.5
16.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-3
0%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.6
6.7
13.7
2
17%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-3
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.5
13.4
0
2-3
53%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.0
13.4
0
1-2
45%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.1
6.8
0
1-2
45%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.2
4.9
0
0-1
47%
Tim Ohlbrecht
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.6
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.