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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder77%104106
28Trail Blazers23%9590
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
31.1
32.1
33
71%
1
2
3
1
1
3
0
1
11-12
92%
8-14
7-15
57%
48%
2-4
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.5
29.7
35.7
16
67%
5
6
1
1
2
4
1
4
2-2
100%
7-10
7-13
70%
54%
0-1
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.6
25.2
29.3
11
56%
6
1
0
0
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
5-8
5-8
63%
57%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.9
22.8
24.5
11
79%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
3-6
50%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.2
18.4
12.4
2
33%
6
0
0
0
4
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
56%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.0
27.7
19.6
17
66%
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
52%
1-3
33%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.1
25.1
5.2
0
0%
7
1
2
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.5
24.4
18.8
5
58%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-3
33%
2-3
2-3
67%
59%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.7
20.8
14.8
9
56%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
3-7
43%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.7
14.8
4.9
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
53%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.2
22.4
1
2-5
48%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.4
21.9
0
2-4
50%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 25.0
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.9
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.3
38.2
24.2
18
45%
7
0
2
1
0
3
1
6
2-2
100%
8-16
3-7
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.7
37.2
38.1
10
32%
3
8
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
2-9
5-11
22%
46%
1-5
20%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
28.3
36.8
12
43%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-13
8-17
46%
49%
0-1
0%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.6
26.2
25.0
3
25%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
1-3
33%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.6
13.4
14.8
7
52%
7
0
1
0
0
0
4
3
1-4
25%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.8
26.2
22.3
11
67%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
4-5
80%
2-4
2-5
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.4
22.6
13.0
7
58%
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
1-3
33%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.1
19.1
26.4
10
59%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
53%
1-1
100%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.2
15.4
5.3
5
43%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.8
12.0
17.7
5
83%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
41%
1-2
50%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
1.3
3.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.4
3.6
0
0-1
40%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.3
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.5
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.