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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 13, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bucks62%10385
30Bobcats38%9995
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.8
41.8
28.8
12
38%
1
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
2-11
18%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.5
30.1
36.9
16
42%
3
4
1
2
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
6-13
6-11
46%
49%
1-5
20%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.3
28.2
20.2
8
57%
11
0
0
1
1
4
3
8
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
52%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
26.8
26.7
10
50%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
51%
2-3
67%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
22.1
20.5
4
33%
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.6
33.1
25.3
19
68%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
3-6
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.8
23.9
12.6
9
38%
4
7
2
1
0
6
0
4
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
43%
1-4
25%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.9
17.2
17.9
1
27%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.0
16.7
9.8
6
44%
9
2
1
0
0
0
4
5
0-2
0%
3-6
1-2
50%
55%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.3
21.0
1
3-5
48%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
4.5
0
1-2
53%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.6
3.6
0
1-1
47%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.5
2.6
0
0-0
56%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.6
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.1
38.5
35.1
18
84%
9
9
1
1
0
1
2
7
4-4
100%
7-9
4-8
78%
50%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.6
37.0
33.4
13
58%
17
0
0
1
2
3
6
11
1-5
20%
6-9
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.9
34.9
33.4
21
51%
4
3
1
2
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
5-13
5-11
38%
46%
2-5
40%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.3
34.5
34.9
12
31%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
5-18
6-13
28%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.5
30.3
27.5
7
40%
8
2
0
1
0
3
3
5
3-4
75%
2-7
4-9
29%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.2
20.5
10.5
6
61%
7
2
4
0
3
0
0
7
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.0
17.7
17.3
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.9
13.5
10.7
9
90%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
1-1
100%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.5
13.1
17.3
5
50%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.7
8.7
0
1-3
43%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.6
7.0
0
1-1
51%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.2
5.2
0
1-1
45%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.0
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.4
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.