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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 14, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls28%9293
4Heat72%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.4
38.5
35.4
16
47%
20
3
2
1
0
4
6
14
6-7
86%
5-14
7-15
36%
49%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
35.2
27.8
19
52%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
6-12
3-8
50%
45%
2-6
33%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.6
35.0
38.9
13
59%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
8-9
89%
1-4
4-7
25%
49%
1-3
33%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.3
32.1
30.4
14
47%
4
3
1
1
0
2
2
2
5-9
56%
0-7
2-4
0%
43%
3-4
75%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
29.6
21.6
7
34%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-3
67%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
1-5
20%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.9
32.6
29.0
14
41%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-12
4-8
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
27.4
4.1
10
83%
5
1
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
37%
2-4
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.6
6.8
24.7
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
2.7
6.2
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
19.4
0
3-6
49%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.2
15.8
0
3-6
44%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
5.1
0
0-0
43%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.1
2.1
0
0-0
44%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.2
36.6
25.6
22
61%
4
4
2
1
2
2
1
3
8-14
57%
7-12
5-10
58%
53%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.3
34.9
22.8
24
69%
7
6
1
1
0
3
0
7
9-12
75%
6-11
5-8
55%
58%
1-1
100%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.9
32.5
28.7
15
55%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
3-5
1-3
60%
49%
2-7
29%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.1
31.1
24.3
12
75%
9
2
1
1
4
2
0
9
0-0
-
6-7
4-8
86%
53%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.1
29.1
23.0
11
92%
6
4
2
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
21.5
25.9
2
20%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.7
20.1
24.7
2
17%
2
1
0
1
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.5
16.8
21.8
2
25%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.8
15.1
20.4
15
85%
7
1
0
1
1
1
3
4
7-11
64%
4-4
2-4
100%
56%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.5
1.1
10.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
1.1
9.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 40.2
2.5
0
0-1
41%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25.1
2.3
0
0-0
49%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.8
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.