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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 14, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Nets46%9787
13Raptors54%9993
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.8
38.7
34.8
30
68%
0
7
2
1
1
3
0
0
4-5
80%
7-10
5-9
70%
49%
4-10
40%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.8
35.2
31.7
12
36%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
48%
2-9
22%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.9
30.3
27.2
0
0%
16
1
3
1
0
1
3
13
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
48%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 25.0
27.4
30.7
16
37%
5
2
0
1
1
1
3
2
2-6
33%
7-19
8-15
37%
53%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.9
24.5
20.6
6
43%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
2-7
29%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
25.9
17.9
15
64%
8
0
0
1
2
1
2
6
3-6
50%
6-9
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.0
21.6
17.0
2
20%
3
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.4
20.0
17.7
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.2
11.9
16.1
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
4.4
11.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.6
4.1
0
0-1
49%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
3.5
0
1-1
45%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
3.4
0
0-1
48%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
42.5
34.7
36
69%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
9-9
100%
9-18
6-13
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
41.8
34.4
26
63%
10
3
3
1
1
4
2
8
3-4
75%
7-13
6-12
54%
47%
3-6
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.0
38.6
35.1
10
42%
9
3
0
1
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
5-12
5-9
42%
57%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.1
36.6
31.5
7
26%
9
6
0
1
0
3
0
9
3-8
38%
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
0-3
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.4
34.3
12.8
4
50%
9
2
0
0
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
22.7
25.8
4
50%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
12.2
13.4
4
29%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-2
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.4
11.4
11.5
2
25%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.2
11.1
0
1-2
48%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
8.0
0
1-2
52%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.8
7.3
0
0-1
43%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.3
4.6
0
0-1
47%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.2
3.5
0
0-0
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.9
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.