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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 14, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Trail Blazers19%95109
8Nuggets81%107118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.7
39.6
36.5
30
75%
5
6
1
1
2
8
0
5
6-7
86%
6-7
5-10
86%
46%
4-10
40%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.6
37.3
15.0
19
51%
9
6
0
0
0
1
4
5
5-6
83%
7-16
3-5
44%
53%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.3
34.3
29.3
17
80%
9
5
0
1
0
3
3
6
6-6
100%
4-6
4-9
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.6
24.1
25.0
9
77%
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
2-4
50%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.1
23.4
23.0
10
56%
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
53%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.8
26.7
23.6
14
57%
0
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
3-5
60%
1-4
2-5
25%
41%
3-6
50%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.4
24.5
17.1
8
50%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
2-4
50%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.8
23.0
15.3
2
14%
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
0-6
0%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.2
7.0
10.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
32.4
1
7-15
49%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.4
3.7
0
0-1
41%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
3.1
0
0-1
42%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.8
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.5
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
37.2
36.8
28
73%
7
9
3
2
3
2
1
6
4-5
80%
9-12
4-7
75%
52%
2-5
40%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.5
35.6
13.6
24
82%
4
4
3
0
0
4
2
2
5-6
83%
5-7
2-3
71%
54%
3-5
60%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.4
31.4
15.3
12
55%
4
10
3
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
53%
0-2
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.1
23.7
19.2
6
60%
6
0
2
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
59%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.4
2.7
27.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
5-8
-
58%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.9
33.3
30.9
11
37%
4
3
1
1
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
1-7
5-9
14%
51%
2-6
33%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.1
21.1
30.9
7
52%
5
3
0
2
0
3
2
3
4-4
100%
0-3
5-10
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.7
19.8
7.4
18
77%
6
0
2
0
1
2
1
5
6-6
100%
6-8
1-3
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.1
18.7
31.6
2
33%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
5-9
50%
51%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.2
16.6
19.8
10
71%
2
0
0
0
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
4-6
71%
58%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.7
3.2
0
0-1
54%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
3.1
0
0-1
51%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.4
2.3
0
0-1
53%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.7
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.