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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 14, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Mavericks54%102107
19Hornets46%10189
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
34.6
34.5
8
67%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.9
31.2
28.9
21
64%
7
6
2
1
1
0
2
5
1-1
100%
10-15
5-9
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.8
26.5
31.9
19
60%
6
1
0
1
2
0
0
6
4-4
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.0
21.8
15.3
11
74%
7
1
2
0
0
2
3
4
1-1
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
50%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.8
18.6
25.9
4
33%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
0-3
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
29.4
20.6
9
50%
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
50%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.2
27.7
27.7
16
74%
7
5
0
1
2
2
1
6
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
4-7
57%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
23.5
23.5
16
62%
4
1
0
1
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
8-13
5-8
62%
60%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.8
18.5
12.1
0
0%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Josh Akognon
G · 5'11" 185 · 27.2
2.7
6.1
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
2.7
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
2.7
2.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.1
9.8
0
1-3
50%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.1
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
40.8
30.9
20
50%
12
1
0
1
1
1
8
4
0-0
-
4-13
4-8
31%
49%
4-7
57%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.2
36.2
20.5
11
34%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-12
3-6
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
33.2
31.2
15
44%
2
4
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.0
32.2
28.6
10
46%
13
2
0
1
1
1
5
8
2-2
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
53%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
25.6
25.7
10
64%
8
2
1
1
0
3
2
6
2-4
50%
4-5
3-5
80%
48%
0-1
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.4
26.6
29.4
13
81%
4
6
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
46%
3-4
75%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
19.6
20.5
8
38%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
8-10
80%
0-6
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.4
15.8
10.7
2
35%
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.6
7.5
9.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.1
2.5
8.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.1
21.4
1
4-8
53%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.7
3.4
0
0-0
44%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.0
2.6
0
0-0
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.1
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.