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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Bulls62%97102
28Magic38%9384
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.6
37.9
36.9
8
46%
10
5
1
1
0
1
2
8
3-4
75%
1-6
4-7
17%
51%
1-1
100%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.3
33.2
30.7
14
88%
2
4
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
4-6
67%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
31.7
30.5
18
82%
4
8
1
1
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-8
4-9
75%
48%
2-3
67%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.4
31.6
35.8
22
73%
6
4
0
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
11-15
8-15
73%
51%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
21.4
24.4
16
81%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
45%
2-4
50%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.9
28.7
29.8
2
50%
5
7
1
1
0
5
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
21.2
13.7
12
49%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
2-3
67%
5-10
2-4
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.1
14.3
20.4
6
52%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.2
12.6
11.7
2
20%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
3.2
13.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.6
2.0
18.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
2.0
5.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.1
2.2
0
0-1
46%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.9
40.7
34.6
16
53%
5
2
2
1
2
3
2
3
4-7
57%
6-11
5-9
55%
51%
0-1
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
40.2
34.8
20
50%
4
4
1
1
1
1
3
1
4-7
57%
8-15
5-11
53%
50%
0-2
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.5
31.4
30.9
17
54%
14
2
3
1
1
3
7
7
5-6
83%
6-13
6-12
46%
51%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.1
26.8
21.2
5
32%
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.8
23.4
34.4
5
36%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
4-9
20%
49%
1-2
50%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
30.2
22.3
9
45%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-7
57%
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
1-3
33%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.1
22.5
18.8
8
52%
9
2
0
0
1
1
1
8
2-4
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
14.1
19.4
2
33%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
51%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.8
10.8
10.7
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.2
9.0
0
1-2
46%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
8.1
0
1-2
50%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.1
5.0
0
0-1
45%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.2
3.5
0
0-1
48%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.