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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Wizards45%91101
18Nets55%92106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.9
39.0
27.5
14
59%
2
2
1
1
0
3
2
0
2-2
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
46%
0-2
0%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.6
33.8
34.0
18
37%
6
12
3
1
0
3
0
6
8-12
67%
5-17
7-15
29%
46%
0-2
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.4
33.1
14.9
16
67%
13
2
2
0
0
1
6
7
0-0
-
8-12
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.4
31.7
22.0
14
79%
8
0
0
1
0
1
0
8
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
4-7
57%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
9.7
20.9
4
100%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
4-7
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.0
27.3
10.3
8
80%
1
1
0
0
2
3
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.4
25.9
23.5
17
68%
7
0
0
0
1
2
2
5
1-1
100%
8-12
4-8
67%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.4
20.5
14.4
6
68%
3
3
0
1
2
3
0
3
0-1
0%
3-4
1-3
75%
42%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.5
19.1
23.6
4
41%
2
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.6
21.4
1
4-7
52%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.4
17.5
0
1-3
47%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.8
11.1
1
1-2
47%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.4
2.7
0
0-0
40%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.4
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
37.6
20.9
20
42%
12
2
1
1
0
2
4
8
2-7
29%
9-19
4-9
47%
49%
0-2
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.2
34.4
14.8
20
53%
9
2
1
0
0
1
6
3
4-4
100%
8-17
2-4
47%
48%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
28.9
9.6
12
46%
4
1
1
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
6-12
1-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.0
24.3
18.8
11
75%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-3
33%
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
2-2
100%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.7
21.9
22.1
2
23%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-3
0%
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
25.4
4.4
11
38%
11
0
1
0
1
0
5
6
1-3
33%
5-13
0-1
38%
49%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.6
24.1
3.6
14
62%
5
0
2
0
1
2
1
4
2-3
67%
3-5
0-1
60%
46%
2-5
40%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
23.8
3.1
14
79%
0
3
2
0
0
4
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
0-1
40%
44%
3-3
100%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
19.7
3.0
2
53%
2
0
3
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 25.0
29.0
0
8-15
52%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.9
27.9
1
2-4
48%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.9
22.0
1
0-1
52%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.8
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.8
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.