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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2576ers39%96101
24Pistons61%99109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.3
31.6
27.1
4
29%
3
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 25.0
30.7
31.4
13
48%
9
3
1
0
1
3
3
6
1-1
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.5
29.1
29.3
13
47%
3
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
27.5
31.6
14
47%
3
3
1
1
0
5
1
2
0-0
-
7-12
5-11
58%
46%
0-3
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
22.9
31.2
11
62%
3
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
5-8
6-11
63%
53%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.4
32.6
23.3
22
69%
8
6
1
1
1
2
1
7
8-9
89%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
4-10
40%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 24.0
27.8
18.2
11
51%
2
2
0
1
2
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.4
24.8
19.5
9
83%
5
0
1
1
1
1
3
2
1-1
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
53%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.2
13.1
10.6
4
33%
3
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.9
11.3
0
1-2
46%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.3
5.0
0
0-0
42%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.1
4.6
0
1-1
45%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 31.1
3.4
0
0-1
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.9
36.8
32.0
27
79%
16
4
0
1
1
2
6
10
7-7
100%
10-14
6-12
71%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.7
32.7
26.4
5
43%
8
0
2
1
1
3
3
5
1-4
25%
2-4
5-8
50%
59%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.0
32.6
29.2
8
44%
4
6
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
47%
2-5
40%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.4
31.0
32.6
12
38%
2
4
1
1
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
3-10
3-7
30%
46%
2-6
33%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.9
30.7
22.8
16
67%
5
0
3
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
2-6
33%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.3
25.3
20.6
22
75%
3
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
49%
2-3
67%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.1
20.0
23.7
9
51%
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
3-4
75%
3-5
3-6
60%
53%
0-2
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.7
15.8
23.5
10
67%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
1-2
50%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.6
8.5
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.6
6.5
10.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
10.4
0
1-2
52%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.4
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.6
3.0
0
0-1
56%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.