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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets63%106112
26Suns37%101119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.5
40.4
19.5
24
75%
4
7
0
1
1
3
0
4
6-7
86%
6-9
2-4
67%
54%
2-4
50%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
36.0
31.3
20
48%
3
4
0
2
1
2
0
3
2-4
50%
6-13
4-8
46%
50%
2-6
33%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.6
34.2
34.1
16
35%
4
2
1
2
0
4
0
4
6-11
55%
5-11
5-9
45%
50%
0-7
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.3
14.4
21.7
4
33%
3
0
1
0
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
59%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.8
14.1
28.9
6
75%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
55%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.6
31.1
20.3
23
74%
8
2
2
1
1
1
0
8
1-1
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
47%
6-9
67%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.3
29.0
21.8
12
55%
4
1
0
1
6
1
1
3
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.8
17.3
19.5
5
63%
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.3
15.7
18.6
0
0%
4
3
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.1
5.0
8.6
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.6
2.8
13.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.1
7.0
0
1-2
47%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.2
5.7
0
1-1
47%
Tim Ohlbrecht
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.6
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.9
38.7
30.5
21
71%
5
2
1
1
0
1
4
1
4-4
100%
7-10
3-6
70%
51%
1-3
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
35.8
35.3
21
53%
5
14
3
2
0
3
3
2
5-6
83%
5-13
5-9
38%
51%
2-4
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
35.6
32.0
20
63%
7
1
5
1
6
1
2
5
2-2
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
30.8
25.6
12
47%
7
1
0
1
2
2
0
7
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
1-5
20%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.0
26.9
31.7
26
71%
15
4
0
1
0
3
2
13
4-5
80%
11-16
6-12
69%
50%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.8
28.1
25.6
7
50%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
1-4
25%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.7
27.8
14.2
8
45%
2
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
12.6
13.4
4
34%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
3.8
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.5
13.6
0
2-5
48%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.9
8.1
0
1-2
48%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.4
3.9
0
1-1
47%
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
3.8
0
0-1
46%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.2
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.