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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs53%103106
11Warriors47%102116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.7
32.5
10.9
10
42%
6
8
1
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-9
1-2
44%
46%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.0
31.2
15.9
14
44%
5
0
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-2
0%
7-15
3-5
47%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.0
30.7
18.6
13
65%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
1-2
63%
50%
1-2
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
19.2
30.7
0
0%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-4
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.3
18.7
27.2
8
44%
7
2
1
1
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
56%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.3
30.4
4.5
4
27%
6
3
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-1
0%
2-6
1-1
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.8
28.6
14.0
9
41%
3
9
5
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
26.3
25.8
25
73%
4
5
1
0
0
5
0
4
4-5
80%
9-12
3-6
75%
45%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.7
22.4
8.0
23
70%
1
2
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
4-8
1-1
50%
49%
5-8
63%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.8
31.9
2
4-8
54%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.0
31.0
1
8-16
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.9
26.0
1
5-10
52%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.0
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.1
38.7
37.6
35
73%
8
5
2
2
0
3
1
7
2-2
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
47%
7-13
54%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.0
36.4
35.4
12
51%
11
2
0
1
0
2
2
9
2-4
50%
5-10
7-13
50%
51%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.2
34.9
35.2
23
64%
5
2
1
1
2
3
1
4
2-2
100%
9-13
4-9
69%
45%
1-4
25%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.9
33.0
24.3
11
51%
7
3
1
1
0
6
1
6
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
1-3
33%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.5
29.3
15.5
8
58%
13
0
0
0
3
1
2
11
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.5
30.3
26.8
6
38%
1
12
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.6
26.6
22.5
16
81%
8
1
2
0
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
7-9
4-7
78%
53%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.8
6.8
4.8
3
54%
0
1
1
0
1
3
0
0
3-4
75%
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.8
3.9
5.9
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.4
13.4
0
2-3
51%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.1
8.4
0
1-2
41%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
7.5
0
0-0
56%
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.9
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.