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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 17, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Wizards32%9092
9Bulls68%9795
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.6
38.2
32.9
23
47%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
6-8
75%
7-19
7-15
37%
44%
1-2
50%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.9
36.1
31.3
6
27%
2
5
3
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-6
2-5
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.4
31.1
24.2
10
51%
9
3
0
0
2
2
1
8
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.4
30.6
22.7
10
48%
8
1
2
1
2
0
2
6
0-1
0%
5-10
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.4
8.9
25.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
40%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.4
30.6
17.1
13
65%
7
0
0
1
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
5-8
1-4
63%
41%
1-2
50%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.5
30.2
21.3
24
64%
1
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
6-10
2-4
60%
42%
3-7
43%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.0
17.4
17.8
4
67%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.4
16.9
2.8
2
35%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.6
16.1
0
3-5
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.6
13.5
0
2-5
51%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.4
12.1
0
1-2
46%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.8
9.1
0
1-1
45%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.4
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.6
42.8
36.3
13
61%
6
3
2
1
1
3
2
4
4-6
67%
3-7
3-7
43%
50%
1-1
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.4
38.0
33.6
19
53%
15
4
0
1
0
2
4
11
3-4
75%
8-16
7-15
50%
50%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
27.4
30.5
5
36%
5
5
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
4-9
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.3
24.8
30.8
18
87%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
5-6
2-4
83%
44%
2-3
67%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.6
22.0
13.4
17
64%
7
0
1
0
0
2
3
4
3-3
100%
7-12
2-3
58%
47%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.9
23.2
28.7
9
56%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
47%
3-7
43%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
21.4
16.5
8
48%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
2-3
67%
3-7
3-5
43%
50%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
14.3
23.0
4
25%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.1
14.3
18.3
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.2
11.5
12.1
2
50%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
0.3
10.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
4.7
0
0-1
48%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.1
2.0
0
0-0
47%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.