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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 17, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Hornets31%9987
8Mavericks69%10699
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.4
42.0
27.7
13
37%
3
6
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
3-12
3-7
25%
44%
2-5
40%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
36.4
33.5
13
43%
7
0
0
1
0
0
6
1
4-5
80%
3-10
4-9
30%
47%
1-3
33%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
34.2
31.2
16
38%
3
3
4
1
1
4
0
3
8-9
89%
4-15
5-10
27%
47%
0-2
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
33.9
25.3
16
53%
20
1
0
1
1
3
8
12
0-0
-
8-15
3-5
53%
47%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.0
32.7
29.1
14
59%
13
0
0
0
0
2
7
6
2-2
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
52%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.4
21.7
12.7
6
53%
6
0
1
0
1
1
3
3
2-6
33%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
19.8
20.0
6
42%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
4-5
80%
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.6
9.8
9.2
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.1
7.0
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.7
2.5
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.3
26.4
1
4-8
46%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.1
15.6
1
3-6
51%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.0
2.7
0
0-0
48%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.1
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.9
30.8
29.8
15
60%
7
3
3
1
0
2
1
6
1-1
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
53%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
30.4
31.1
5
42%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.8
28.1
30.5
16
50%
9
4
0
1
1
0
1
8
2-2
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
51%
0-3
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.8
17.5
23.3
9
90%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
3-4
75%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.0
13.0
17.5
6
60%
5
0
1
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
50%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.7
28.3
24.2
25
71%
2
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
4-6
67%
9-13
3-6
69%
51%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.2
26.8
27.2
9
64%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.8
20.3
14.0
4
34%
4
2
2
1
1
1
3
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
18.6
22.4
4
33%
1
0
0
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
5-8
33%
60%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.1
16.4
7.3
2
25%
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.6
4.4
5.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
3.3
2.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Josh Akognon
G · 5'11" 185 · 27.2
2.3
5.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.1
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.