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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 17, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Timberwolves28%95108
4Spurs72%10295
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
33.0
28.8
21
60%
6
4
1
1
0
2
0
6
5-6
83%
5-11
4-9
45%
45%
2-4
50%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
32.5
25.4
12
75%
9
0
5
1
1
0
1
8
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
46%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.5
26.0
27.9
12
55%
3
3
2
2
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
3-8
20%
37%
3-5
60%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.2
22.3
23.5
9
45%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
1-3
33%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.2
20.4
26.3
5
39%
6
4
2
1
0
0
3
3
1-1
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.8
25.7
21.8
10
37%
4
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
44%
1-7
14%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.9
23.7
22.4
15
58%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.3
22.0
17.0
6
51%
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-4
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.0
21.4
26.0
10
63%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.8
9.1
4.4
5
64%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.9
3.9
4.4
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
1-1
100%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.3
12.5
0
2-5
51%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.6
8.8
0
1-3
45%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.7
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.0
27.4
21.7
17
60%
14
3
0
1
1
5
2
12
7-7
100%
5-11
6-11
45%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.9
26.7
19.2
15
54%
0
8
1
1
0
2
0
0
9-9
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
54%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.8
26.4
22.5
4
33%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
56%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.0
25.8
22.5
7
88%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
1-1
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
15.9
26.2
4
40%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
0-3
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.0
29.6
21.1
10
56%
6
0
1
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-9
4-7
56%
54%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
21.4
25.5
17
66%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.7
21.3
18.4
2
20%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.4
13.2
13.2
4
41%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
52%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.8
12.0
18.9
4
41%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.7
11.8
16.0
2
25%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.7
8.6
13.5
9
90%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
3-3
100%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.3
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.0
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.