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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 17, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bucks25%9495
3Thunder75%10389
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.3
44.4
24.6
28
62%
16
1
0
1
0
2
8
8
6-8
75%
11-19
4-9
58%
47%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.9
24.2
18.0
4
42%
6
1
1
0
1
3
2
4
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.6
22.9
25.0
17
61%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-6
17%
42%
5-8
63%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.5
11.1
33.7
2
33%
0
2
0
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
5-11
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
5.7
19.8
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.8
35.0
29.5
12
53%
3
3
1
0
0
2
2
1
3-3
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
47%
1-5
20%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.6
27.6
27.0
14
57%
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-3
67%
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
2-6
33%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.0
27.5
8.9
8
44%
12
1
0
0
1
0
3
9
0-0
-
4-9
1-2
44%
50%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.8
25.1
17.1
7
44%
7
5
1
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
38%
1-3
33%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.3
16.6
11.4
3
30%
3
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.9
4.2
0
1-1
49%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.6
3.3
0
1-1
43%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.5
2.5
0
0-0
48%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.6
38.8
2.9
14
45%
9
0
1
0
0
1
2
7
0-1
0%
7-15
1-1
47%
51%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.2
20.6
13.8
4
100%
8
2
2
0
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.6
8.4
28.3
8
67%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
5-8
67%
58%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
7.3
32.6
4
40%
0
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
7-15
40%
49%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.0
6.9
23.5
6
100%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
2-2
100%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.9
41.1
7.4
13
30%
7
2
0
0
1
2
2
5
1-1
100%
6-15
1-2
40%
50%
0-6
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.0
36.4
20.0
23
55%
6
5
1
1
0
1
1
5
7-7
100%
8-12
3-5
67%
53%
0-6
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.1
25.1
19.8
2
20%
7
1
1
1
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.7
21.3
14.5
5
73%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 25.0
17.3
3.1
3
52%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.7
16.9
16.6
7
35%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
41%
1-5
20%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.4
15.9
0
1-3
51%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.5
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.2
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.