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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 17, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Rockets54%10595
13Lakers46%10499
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.6
45.1
33.3
30
50%
8
3
1
1
0
6
2
6
10-12
83%
4-12
5-9
33%
50%
4-13
31%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.5
44.7
26.7
23
61%
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
8-11
3-6
73%
54%
2-7
29%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.8
43.3
23.4
8
54%
12
0
1
1
1
1
3
9
0-1
0%
4-7
3-6
57%
54%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.3
41.8
19.1
8
67%
10
1
0
0
4
1
2
8
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
58%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
34.6
32.2
12
38%
2
8
0
2
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
2-7
4-9
29%
49%
2-7
29%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.8
18.4
18.6
6
51%
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.6
15.4
23.7
0
0%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.3
13.0
23.9
4
100%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.3
8.7
17.4
4
46%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.6
9.8
0
1-2
54%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.1
7.8
0
1-1
46%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.1
5.7
0
1-2
46%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.3
4.7
0
0-1
47%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.0
Tim Ohlbrecht
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.1
48.0
34.4
24
51%
7
7
0
1
0
1
2
5
8-8
100%
2-8
1-3
25%
44%
4-12
33%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.4
46.0
34.4
16
41%
18
2
3
1
4
4
3
15
4-10
40%
6-14
6-11
43%
59%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.8
43.7
36.2
17
45%
20
11
0
1
2
3
5
15
3-4
75%
7-17
7-13
41%
50%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.7
36.5
27.8
9
37%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
4-5
80%
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
1-7
14%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.4
23.9
22.3
12
49%
3
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-3
67%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.8
33.0
17.3
16
58%
4
1
0
0
0
1
4
0
2-4
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
2-5
40%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.3
15.6
10.0
5
125%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.2
12.1
22.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-1
0%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
6.2
4.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.2
6.5
0
1-2
53%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.6
3.9
0
0-0
45%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.5
3.2
0
0-1
46%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.9
2.0
0
0-0
50%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.7
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.