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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Pacers61%9687
22Bobcats39%93109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.5
34.6
38.2
12
61%
8
3
0
1
0
2
0
8
2-2
100%
2-4
5-9
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.8
33.8
36.0
2
10%
7
1
0
2
1
5
3
4
2-2
100%
0-5
6-12
0%
48%
0-4
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.8
31.3
30.4
17
75%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
3-5
2-5
60%
50%
3-5
60%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.5
31.1
31.2
10
33%
7
4
0
1
0
2
4
3
2-3
67%
4-13
6-12
31%
50%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.2
22.2
29.3
4
25%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
48%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
31.3
20.7
22
85%
2
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
7-10
3-7
70%
44%
2-2
100%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.8
14.1
15.4
8
68%
5
3
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.3
13.8
17.1
1
57%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 30.0
12.0
2.4
11
94%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
49%
3-5
60%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.1
7.5
5.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.8
5.5
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25.1
2.8
4.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.9
20.8
1
2-3
46%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.0
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 29.2
35.8
33.9
34
66%
8
3
1
1
1
1
2
6
1-2
50%
15-24
9-19
63%
49%
1-1
100%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.0
34.4
26.6
12
45%
5
2
1
1
0
1
3
2
2-3
67%
5-8
1-3
63%
50%
0-4
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 23.8
33.5
32.7
19
60%
2
9
0
1
1
2
1
1
4-4
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
44%
1-1
100%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 27.2
28.6
12.0
12
76%
2
3
3
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
3-3
100%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 20.4
15.3
22.7
3
39%
6
0
1
1
1
0
0
6
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.8
26.8
21.6
8
74%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.4
25.3
23.8
10
46%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-6
2-6
17%
42%
2-4
50%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 21.4
19.6
18.0
11
71%
5
0
1
1
2
1
1
4
3-4
75%
4-6
2-5
67%
42%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.1
13.0
12.3
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 21.5
6.2
9.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.4
1.5
2.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.2
19.3
0
3-6
45%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.9
4.4
0
0-1
44%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 24.8
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.