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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets72%104101
29Magic28%9689
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.4
41
30
19
6
7
1
1
0
2
2
4
1-3
33%
6-14
4-7
43%
55%
2-6
33%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.2
38
30
17
11
1
1
1
2
4
3
8
0-2
0%
7-9
5-9
78%
56%
1-1
100%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.5
36
38
31
3
6
0
2
0
3
1
2
7-7
100%
9-12
5-10
75%
51%
2-7
29%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.6
32
32
4
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-4
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.2
31
33
19
13
1
2
1
0
6
6
7
3-6
50%
8-12
7-11
67%
59%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
18
22
3
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.7
16
14
2
8
0
0
0
1
0
0
8
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
15
18
2
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.5
10
16
4
2
1
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.6
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.8
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.2
5
0
0-0
49%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.2
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
37
33
15
2
1
5
2
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
2-3
67%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.4
32
28
15
10
4
1
1
0
2
3
7
1-2
50%
7-9
6-12
78%
51%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.4
31
21
18
2
4
1
0
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
8-12
3-6
67%
50%
0-4
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.6
31
30
10
5
2
1
1
2
1
2
3
4-4
100%
3-12
5-10
25%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.7
25
10
8
0
5
2
1
0
6
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
1-1
100%
39%
0-2
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.0
26
27
9
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
16
19
8
8
1
1
1
3
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-13
3-6
31%
51%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
15
14
2
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.3
15
11
0
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Adonis Thomas
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 20.9
9
6
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 24.6
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
49%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.8
32
2
4-10
46%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.0
3
0
0-1
46%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.