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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Jazz
91
17Wizards
104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 24.0
37
34
12
6
6
3
1
0
4
1
5
2-5
40%
5-10
4-8
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 21.3
36
29
14
4
3
0
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
41%
2-6
33%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 22.6
26
25
5
5
1
0
1
4
2
1
4
1-2
50%
2-4
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 33.7
22
24
8
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 27.7
21
19
7
9
3
0
1
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 22.6
37
30
19
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
5-10
50%
4-8
5-10
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 26.4
25
18
8
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 21.8
23
28
11
8
0
0
1
0
0
5
3
3-3
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
51%
0-0
-
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
12
17
7
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
6
0
0-1
48%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.7
5
0
0-1
47%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.3
3
0
0-1
45%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 31.3
3
0
0-1
40%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.0
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.7
36
35
26
5
1
1
2
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
49%
4-6
67%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.7
35
33
22
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
46%
2-6
33%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.5
34
34
14
2
10
1
2
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
7-13
5-11
54%
48%
0-2
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.0
29
35
16
9
4
0
1
0
0
3
6
2-2
100%
7-11
6-11
64%
56%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.3
16
28
4
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-1
4-7
100%
56%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.8
22
6
0
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.0
21
10
8
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 32.4
19
5
12
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
6-7
1-2
86%
46%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.0
13
12
2
3
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.3
11
13
0
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.8
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.2
17
0
1-2
50%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.2
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.5
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.