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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies
94
14Nets
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.1
28
34
18
7
1
2
1
1
2
3
4
4-5
80%
7-14
5-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.4
26
25
4
2
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
0-2
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
21
32
2
3
3
0
2
0
6
0
3
2-2
100%
0-6
4-9
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.0
17
27
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
44%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
13
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.1
30
15
10
5
5
4
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.8
26
2
19
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
3-6
0-1
50%
52%
3-4
75%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.1
21
23
15
6
2
0
1
0
4
4
2
4-6
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
1-2
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.0
19
15
12
8
0
2
0
1
1
4
4
0-2
0%
6-9
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.0
15
19
0
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.0
14
10
12
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
2-3
67%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.7
10
4
2
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.6
32
1
7-14
48%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.7
34
29
21
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
5-7
71%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
33
33
16
3
7
4
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
2-5
40%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 36.4
26
27
14
8
2
1
1
0
5
1
7
6-6
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
48%
2-5
40%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 28.5
23
23
2
5
3
1
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.0
15
17
4
6
1
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
57%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.7
26
20
20
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
4-5
80%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 35.3
17
6
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.0
17
21
2
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 28.5
17
16
8
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
50%
2-4
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
16
24
12
4
2
1
1
3
2
0
4
4-5
80%
4-6
5-10
67%
49%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.4
10
9
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.0
7
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 37.8
7
0
1-2
49%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.