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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Bulls58%98105
23Pistons42%9594
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.5
46
37
18
12
4
3
2
0
3
3
9
4-6
67%
7-12
4-8
58%
48%
0-3
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.5
43
33
7
4
2
0
1
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
48%
1-6
17%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.0
35
35
10
11
11
0
1
2
2
1
10
0-1
0%
5-7
5-10
71%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.3
24
26
10
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-10
6-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.2
22
30
10
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
44%
2-5
40%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
31
26
22
5
0
1
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
11-16
5-11
69%
50%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.3
31
26
26
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
10-10
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
42%
2-5
40%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.5
6
6
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.3
2
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.0
3
0
0-1
45%
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
2
0
0-0
48%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.4
2
0
0-0
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.8
44
32
27
7
5
2
1
0
1
2
5
3-4
75%
12-20
6-11
60%
50%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.2
41
39
15
9
5
2
2
6
1
1
8
2-2
100%
5-18
7-15
28%
48%
1-3
33%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.6
38
36
15
7
1
0
2
0
0
5
2
1-1
100%
7-8
6-11
88%
60%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.8
36
30
16
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
6-7
86%
5-6
2-4
83%
49%
0-5
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.4
32
27
9
2
9
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
3-6
3-6
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.9
29
29
8
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
5-11
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.2
16
20
4
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-10
3-7
10%
48%
0-1
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.0
4
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.0
9
0
1-2
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.5
4
0
0-1
46%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.4
2
0
0-0
39%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.9
1
0
0-0
45%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
1
0
0-0
46%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25.1
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.