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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Kings
116
28Bucks
102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
35
32
22
7
6
2
1
0
5
1
6
6-6
100%
8-11
6-12
73%
49%
0-5
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.1
33
36
25
3
6
4
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
6-10
6-11
60%
51%
3-6
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.6
31
25
21
10
5
1
1
0
2
2
8
7-9
78%
7-14
5-11
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.1
26
27
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.6
24
24
8
13
0
0
1
1
0
6
7
0-0
-
4-9
3-5
44%
53%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
31
21
15
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
6-8
2-5
75%
45%
1-2
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 33.8
27
20
13
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
7-10
70%
3-4
2-3
75%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.4
13
13
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
13
21
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-3
2-5
33%
50%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.0
7
9
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.5
5
0
0-1
44%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.2
4
0
0-1
51%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.5
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 22.3
33
27
25
5
6
0
1
0
1
1
4
9-10
90%
5-9
4-9
56%
47%
2-4
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
30
27
9
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
3-6
4-9
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.6
29
25
11
4
1
2
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-10
3-6
20%
49%
2-4
50%
Nate Wolters
· 6'4" 190 · 22.8
24
20
8
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 30.1
16
22
4
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 23.2
24
21
6
7
1
0
0
0
0
5
2
2-4
50%
2-6
4-7
33%
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 28.1
22
17
15
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
20
23
8
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
0-2
0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 19.2
18
25
5
1
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
17
23
9
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Miroslav Raduljica
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
4
4
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Tony Mitchell
F · 6'6" 216 · 24.6
3
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
5
0
0-1
44%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.3
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.