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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hawks32%10478
12Trail Blazers68%110102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.6
29
31
4
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.0
28
34
5
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
3-3
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-5
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.6
26
33
9
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
1-5
20%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.7
25
31
10
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-11
5-11
36%
47%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.0
20
31
6
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.9
30
22
5
5
7
0
1
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
2-8
3-5
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.3
24
5
16
6
0
3
0
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
6-9
0-1
67%
42%
1-5
20%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.5
23
6
5
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
2-5
1-1
40%
44%
0-2
0%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.6
16
7
10
4
0
0
0
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
2-4
50%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.7
15
12
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.4
5
27
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-0
2-5
-
44%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.1
11
1
2-4
49%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.8
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.9
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.2
29
35
14
18
1
0
1
0
4
1
17
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
54%
3-5
60%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.6
29
26
10
6
1
0
1
2
2
2
4
8-8
100%
1-13
7-14
8%
50%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.4
29
32
10
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
49%
2-4
50%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.6
25
33
12
4
7
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
5-10
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.9
24
31
12
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
4-5
5-8
80%
54%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 31.2
25
24
15
4
5
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
3-3
100%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
21
8
9
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
1-5
20%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.0
17
14
4
7
4
1
0
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 28.3
16
17
5
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-3
67%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.2
12
11
9
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 25.5
6
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-1
0%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.9
6
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 34.7
2
0
0-0
42%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.0
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.