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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 6, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Heat
87
2Spurs
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.2
38
36
19
8
7
2
1
0
5
3
5
7-9
78%
6-15
8-14
40%
57%
0-3
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.1
36
32
16
3
7
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
7-14
7-13
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.9
35
26
24
7
1
2
1
0
3
2
5
3-3
100%
9-14
4-7
64%
52%
1-2
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.8
27
26
5
2
3
2
1
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
48%
1-1
100%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.5
16
21
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.6
22
25
6
1
5
0
1
1
3
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
21
21
11
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
1-1
100%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.4
18
23
0
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.7
17
18
6
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
61%
0-0
-
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.1
6
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.0
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.7
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 25.9
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
37
25
16
8
5
1
1
0
4
2
6
4-5
80%
3-3
4-6
100%
56%
2-2
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.9
33
28
23
11
2
0
1
1
3
2
9
5-5
100%
9-13
5-11
69%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.8
31
24
17
1
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
6-14
5-10
43%
51%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
30
27
11
5
0
5
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
57%
1-4
25%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
21
24
6
3
3
1
1
3
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
2-6
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.9
22
21
8
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.6
20
22
6
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
0-2
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.2
19
22
7
2
4
0
1
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.6
17
22
9
10
4
0
1
0
1
2
8
1-2
50%
1-1
3-6
100%
52%
2-5
40%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
4
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.9
2
8
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.2
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
2
1
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
2-2
100%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.