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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 6, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Clippers76%111142
27Lakers24%10194
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 34.0
30.1
33.0
17
65%
12
5
3
1
0
1
2
10
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
54%
3-7
43%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
29.6
31.5
24
66%
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
2
5-5
100%
8-13
4-8
62%
51%
1-3
33%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.8
26.0
34.1
13
52%
4
11
4
2
1
3
1
3
0-1
0%
5-9
6-11
56%
52%
1-3
33%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 25.0
25.8
34.5
20
68%
11
7
2
1
0
5
2
9
4-6
67%
8-12
10-17
67%
55%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.6
22.0
35.0
14
65%
12
3
0
1
0
2
4
8
2-4
50%
6-9
4-6
67%
65%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.6
27.6
14.4
9
46%
6
2
0
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 35.0
22.2
6.7
9
75%
8
1
2
0
2
0
0
8
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
3-5
60%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 28.2
18.5
10.2
10
71%
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
45%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30.9
17.9
8.2
10
56%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 23.0
12.8
8.0
11
79%
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
50%
3-3
100%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 29.4
7.4
4.6
5
51%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
63%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 28.7
15.2
0
1-2
54%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 34.0
12.0
0
1-3
48%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 24.7
32.1
29.8
14
52%
2
6
1
1
1
5
1
1
5-10
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
1-4
25%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
31.3
32.6
7
31%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.7
30.0
30.6
2
11%
4
1
4
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-7
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.7
25.2
31.9
21
60%
7
1
0
0
0
2
1
6
5-6
83%
8-15
7-14
53%
49%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.5
23.7
22.3
7
44%
4
7
1
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-4
50%
42%
1-4
25%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.7
22.8
12.8
8
57%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.3
21.2
24.3
4
34%
0
3
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
21.1
15.2
9
73%
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
6
4-5
80%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
19.3
10.5
15
69%
5
3
1
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-7
1-3
29%
44%
3-3
100%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
13.3
19.5
7
44%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
1-5
20%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.8
7.2
0
1-2
45%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.6
6.3
0
1-2
52%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.9
5.9
0
1-3
48%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.5
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 40.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.