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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 7, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Trail Blazers38%10598
8Mavericks62%109103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.2
39.0
32.1
9
51%
5
5
0
1
2
3
2
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
52%
1-5
20%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.6
37.1
27.4
30
49%
17
3
3
1
0
3
5
12
4-6
67%
13-27
7-14
48%
49%
0-1
0%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.6
35.1
29.2
10
44%
3
4
0
1
0
5
0
3
3-3
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.4
34.4
30.0
26
67%
6
0
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-1
0%
7-11
3-6
64%
48%
4-8
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.9
30.4
27.5
2
35%
5
2
0
0
2
2
2
3
2-2
100%
0-2
4-7
0%
53%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 31.2
25.1
24.1
7
39%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
1-6
17%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.0
19.8
12.8
11
76%
9
0
1
0
2
2
4
5
3-5
60%
4-5
2-4
80%
46%
0-0
-
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
8.6
13.5
1
57%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.0
6.0
15.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 28.3
4.7
16.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.2
11.3
0
2-3
48%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 25.5
7.5
0
0-1
51%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 34.7
2.0
0
0-0
41%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.9
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.4
41.8
36.0
17
50%
8
7
3
2
0
4
2
6
5-9
56%
6-11
6-12
55%
48%
0-2
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.7
34.0
31.3
22
50%
5
6
2
1
0
1
0
5
6-7
86%
8-17
6-11
47%
51%
0-2
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
29.7
29.1
19
59%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-10
2-4
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.8
29.1
28.5
4
33%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.8
28.2
14.9
4
34%
8
0
1
0
3
1
3
5
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
53%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.1
23.1
22.8
9
58%
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.0
22.9
18.4
12
73%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-5
60%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
15.8
20.2
6
75%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
61%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.7
11.5
9.4
8
66%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
6-7
86%
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.9
3.9
7.5
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
7.9
0
1-1
46%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
5.9
0
1-1
51%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.4
3.7
0
0-1
44%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.0
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.