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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 8, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bobcats
89
10Grizzlies
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 27.2
30
23
15
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
5-7
1-3
71%
45%
1-3
33%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 23.8
28
33
11
4
5
0
1
1
3
1
3
4-4
100%
2-8
4-9
25%
44%
1-5
20%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 29.2
27
35
17
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
3-4
75%
7-17
10-19
41%
50%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.0
21
32
8
3
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-3
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 20.4
21
21
6
4
0
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
47%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.4
27
22
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 21.4
23
18
2
9
2
0
1
1
2
4
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.8
22
22
10
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
1-1
75%
47%
1-4
25%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 21.5
18
7
6
5
0
0
0
3
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
50%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.1
15
13
2
3
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.4
4
2
5
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.9
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.2
12
0
2-4
45%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 24.8
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 34.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.6
31
28
16
7
3
1
1
0
1
4
3
6-8
75%
5-6
6-12
83%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.4
30
29
20
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-11
4-9
18%
48%
5-7
71%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.4
27
26
9
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
4
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.1
25
32
14
9
3
0
1
2
2
1
8
4-4
100%
5-12
5-11
42%
50%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.0
18
22
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.2
22
23
8
6
4
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-2
0%
4-6
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.0
20
19
8
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.0
19
18
12
10
0
0
0
0
2
2
8
2-3
67%
5-11
3-6
45%
54%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 25.1
18
19
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.8
17
11
10
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
51%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.0
5
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
4
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.7
4
6
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
2-2
100%
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.6
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.