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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 9, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pistons46%101111
24Celtics54%103118
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.8
39
34
22
14
4
1
1
1
1
3
11
6-7
86%
8-15
7-13
53%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.3
39
34
28
11
1
0
1
1
4
4
7
1-5
20%
9-18
7-14
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.5
39
29
14
1
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
4-9
3-7
44%
43%
1-4
25%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.8
38
30
8
3
2
0
1
2
3
2
1
4-5
80%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.6
38
30
18
22
0
1
1
0
2
10
12
2-3
67%
8-13
5-9
62%
60%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.2
22
20
18
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
10-12
83%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.9
17
23
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-3
33%
1-3
4-9
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.0
5
11
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-1
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.1
3
12
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
7
0
1-2
46%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.5
6
0
1-1
47%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.4
2
0
0-0
42%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.9
1
0
0-0
48%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25.1
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
37
31
15
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
4-6
67%
4-8
4-8
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
35
32
27
3
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
6-7
4-9
86%
49%
5-12
42%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.0
33
34
11
2
18
2
2
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
5-10
44%
50%
1-6
17%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.1
27
23
20
11
2
2
0
2
1
4
7
2-2
100%
9-13
4-8
69%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.9
24
26
5
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-8
4-9
25%
50%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 22.0
27
24
14
8
1
0
1
0
0
3
5
4-5
80%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 22.9
18
19
18
6
2
0
0
0
1
3
3
3-6
50%
6-9
3-5
67%
51%
1-1
100%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.1
15
12
0
1
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-2
0%
Chris Babb
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.1
13
15
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 23.9
11
15
6
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.3
8
0
2-3
48%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.6
3
0
0-0
51%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.6
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.8
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.