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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 9, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Kings37%9889
15Nets63%103104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.1
36.3
33.8
10
32%
3
4
0
1
0
7
1
2
3-4
75%
2-5
5-10
40%
50%
1-9
11%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
32.3
31.8
20
53%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
8-14
5-11
57%
48%
1-4
25%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.6
31.6
27.0
28
67%
20
3
1
1
1
6
10
10
2-4
50%
13-19
6-12
68%
49%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.1
29.7
27.3
8
75%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
1-3
33%
2-2
2-5
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.6
23.9
24.8
4
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
29.6
23.9
5
31%
2
2
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
1-5
20%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
19.2
18.7
8
68%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 33.8
17.0
23.2
3
40%
9
0
2
1
0
5
2
7
3-4
75%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.5
12.9
4.1
3
26%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.4
5.2
11.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.0
2.4
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.3
3.3
0
0-1
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.5
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.9
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.7
32.3
33.2
10
56%
4
7
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.7
27.4
32.4
18
70%
2
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
49%
2-6
33%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 28.5
25.5
24.0
10
64%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.0
12.1
19.0
5
51%
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
59%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 36.4
1.2
28.1
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.8
27.5
24.4
27
85%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
6-7
2-5
86%
48%
5-8
63%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
26.1
21.8
4
29%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
4-9
29%
50%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.4
24.1
7.2
11
55%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
46%
3-6
50%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 35.3
20.1
7.1
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.1
18.4
18.4
5
64%
1
3
1
1
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 28.5
18.0
12.9
9
64%
4
3
2
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
1-3
33%
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 25.2
4.8
5.7
1
27%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.0
2.4
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 25.9
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 37.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.