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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 9, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pacers41%9894
8Mavericks59%101105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.8
38
29
20
5
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
4-6
67%
5-11
2-5
45%
51%
2-5
40%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.2
37
27
14
5
0
0
0
1
4
3
2
2-2
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
48%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.5
36
34
21
5
3
2
1
0
6
1
4
2-2
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
54%
3-3
100%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.5
33
28
8
7
3
1
1
0
4
2
5
4-6
67%
2-9
6-11
22%
50%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
31
34
27
11
2
0
2
0
1
2
9
9-9
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
48%
2-5
40%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
25
21
2
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.9
15
16
1
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.3
11
15
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.1
10
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-2
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.8
4
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.0
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 30.0
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25.1
5
0
1-1
45%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.9
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.4
38
37
20
8
2
1
2
0
1
2
6
8-9
89%
6-14
6-12
43%
47%
0-2
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.7
35
32
14
8
1
2
1
0
3
1
7
7-7
100%
2-10
6-12
20%
50%
1-4
25%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.8
34
28
12
3
2
0
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
30
29
10
3
7
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
2-5
40%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.8
18
20
8
8
0
0
0
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
4-9
3-5
44%
51%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.1
25
22
10
7
3
1
1
0
0
5
2
3-4
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.0
24
20
20
1
5
4
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
4-6
67%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.9
18
6
5
1
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3-6
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
53%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
12
18
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
4-6
100%
59%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.7
7
10
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
6
0
0-1
44%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
4
0
0-1
48%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.4
3
0
0-1
41%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.0
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.