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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 10, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Wizards30%9790
3Heat70%10599
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.7
36
34
18
5
2
0
1
0
3
3
2
1-1
100%
4-11
5-11
36%
43%
3-7
43%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.5
34
34
7
6
8
1
2
0
7
1
5
1-2
50%
0-4
5-11
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
33
31
14
18
4
0
1
1
1
9
9
0-1
0%
7-15
5-9
47%
53%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.7
30
35
6
5
1
2
2
0
5
2
3
1-1
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
47%
1-7
14%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.3
21
24
6
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
53%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.3
30
19
17
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
4-8
50%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.1
19
16
3
2
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 32.5
17
13
15
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
6-10
2-5
60%
44%
1-2
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.0
15
12
2
5
5
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.8
3
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.8
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.3
7
0
1-1
41%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.3
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.5
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.2
37
38
23
7
8
3
2
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
7-11
9-15
64%
58%
3-4
75%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.0
34
31
22
7
1
2
1
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
8-11
5-9
73%
53%
2-3
67%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.1
33
34
22
5
6
1
2
1
3
2
3
6-6
100%
8-17
7-13
47%
53%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.8
30
29
0
1
6
1
2
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.5
16
15
6
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
2-3
67%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.6
29
21
13
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
3-6
50%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.4
23
19
0
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.7
18
23
9
3
0
0
1
2
2
0
3
3-3
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
63%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
15
17
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.7
5
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.0
4
0
0-0
43%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 25.9
3
0
0-0
50%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
2
0
0-0
48%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.4
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.